**Trader consensus has converged on 30°C as the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on June 12, 2026, producing market-implied odds of 99.9% for that outcome.** This near-certainty stems from official post-event readings across the observatory’s network, which showed peak values falling squarely in the 30°C bin (with individual stations reporting maxima around 30–31°C). June climatology for Hong Kong—hot, humid subtropical conditions with typical daytime highs near 30–31°C—provided the baseline expectation, but the decisive driver was the verified observational data released after the date. Realistic challenges to this resolution remain limited to rare post-processing revisions or measurement discrepancies at the reference station, both of which have low historical precedent for this market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 12?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 12?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$220,007 Vol.
$220,007 Vol.
2026/06/12
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$220,007 Vol.
$220,007 Vol.
2026/06/12
23°C or below
$2,740 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$806 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,838 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$9,169 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$20,011 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$29,030 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$25,571 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$45,010 Vol.
100%
31°C
$35,994 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$28,535 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$21,303 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has converged on 30°C as the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on June 12, 2026, producing market-implied odds of 99.9% for that outcome.**
This near-certainty stems from official post-event readings across the observatory’s network, which showed peak values falling squarely in the 30°C bin (with individual stations reporting maxima around 30–31°C). June climatology for Hong Kong—hot, humid subtropical conditions with typical daytime highs near 30–31°C—provided the baseline expectation, but the decisive driver was the verified observational data released after the date.
Realistic challenges to this resolution remain limited to rare post-processing revisions or measurement discrepancies at the reference station, both of which have low historical precedent for this market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$220,007終了日
2026/06/12マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has converged on 30°C as the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on June 12, 2026, producing market-implied odds of 99.9% for that outcome.**
This near-certainty stems from official post-event readings across the observatory’s network, which showed peak values falling squarely in the 30°C bin (with individual stations reporting maxima around 30–31°C). June climatology for Hong Kong—hot, humid subtropical conditions with typical daytime highs near 30–31°C—provided the baseline expectation, but the decisive driver was the verified observational data released after the date.
Realistic challenges to this resolution remain limited to rare post-processing revisions or measurement discrepancies at the reference station, both of which have low historical precedent for this market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$220,007終了日
2026/06/12マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged on 30°C as the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on June 12, 2026, producing market-implied odds of 99.9% for that outcome.** This near-certainty stems from official post-event readings across the observatory’s network, which showed peak values falling squarely in the 30°C bin (with individual stations reporting maxima around 30–31°C). June climatology for Hong Kong—hot, humid subtropical conditions with typical daytime highs near 30–31°C—provided the baseline expectation, but the decisive driver was the verified observational data released after the date. Realistic challenges to this resolution remain limited to rare post-processing revisions or measurement discrepancies at the reference station, both of which have low historical precedent for this market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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