Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus indicate a daily maximum of 26–29°C on June 15 amid expected heavy showers and thunderstorms, which favor the market's leading outcomes of 28°C and 29°C. June climatology typically features highs near 30–31°C under the influence of the East Asian summer monsoon, yet above-normal seasonal temperatures projected for June–August 2026 by the Observatory—linked to long-term warming trends and current ENSO conditions—support potential for brief peaks near 30°C if convective activity remains limited. High humidity and cloud cover from the rain will likely moderate afternoon maxima, aligning trader consensus with these near-term model runs ahead of any final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?
29°C 40%
28°C 25%
30°C 22%
27°C 7%
新規
$11,386 Vol.
新規
$11,386 Vol.
2026/06/15
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
25%
29°C
40%
30°C
22%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 40%
28°C 25%
30°C 22%
27°C 7%
新規
$11,386 Vol.
新規
$11,386 Vol.
2026/06/15
23°C or below
$934 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,109 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$516 Vol.
1%
27°C
$951 Vol.
7%
28°C
$1,130 Vol.
25%
29°C
$2,141 Vol.
40%
30°C
$1,916 Vol.
22%
31°C
$1,403 Vol.
3%
32°C
$647 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$608 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus indicate a daily maximum of 26–29°C on June 15 amid expected heavy showers and thunderstorms, which favor the market's leading outcomes of 28°C and 29°C. June climatology typically features highs near 30–31°C under the influence of the East Asian summer monsoon, yet above-normal seasonal temperatures projected for June–August 2026 by the Observatory—linked to long-term warming trends and current ENSO conditions—support potential for brief peaks near 30°C if convective activity remains limited. High humidity and cloud cover from the rain will likely moderate afternoon maxima, aligning trader consensus with these near-term model runs ahead of any final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
音量
$11,386終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus indicate a daily maximum of 26–29°C on June 15 amid expected heavy showers and thunderstorms, which favor the market's leading outcomes of 28°C and 29°C. June climatology typically features highs near 30–31°C under the influence of the East Asian summer monsoon, yet above-normal seasonal temperatures projected for June–August 2026 by the Observatory—linked to long-term warming trends and current ENSO conditions—support potential for brief peaks near 30°C if convective activity remains limited. High humidity and cloud cover from the rain will likely moderate afternoon maxima, aligning trader consensus with these near-term model runs ahead of any final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$11,386終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus indicate a daily maximum of 26–29°C on June 15 amid expected heavy showers and thunderstorms, which favor the market's leading outcomes of 28°C and 29°C. June climatology typically features highs near 30–31°C under the influence of the East Asian summer monsoon, yet above-normal seasonal temperatures projected for June–August 2026 by the Observatory—linked to long-term warming trends and current ENSO conditions—support potential for brief peaks near 30°C if convective activity remains limited. High humidity and cloud cover from the rain will likely moderate afternoon maxima, aligning trader consensus with these near-term model runs ahead of any final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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