Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models point to a daily maximum of 22°C in Tokyo under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and moderate humidity, aligning precisely with the market-implied 100% consensus for that outcome. June climatology shows average highs near 26°C, yet persistent cloud cover and a stable air mass have suppressed daytime warming, consistent with recent observations and ensemble guidance. This positioning reflects traders’ assessment of real-time meteorological data rather than long-term trends. A shift in cloud thickness or unexpected southerly flow could push temperatures a degree or two higher before sunset, though current model runs indicate low probability of such deviation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月10日の東京の最高気温は?
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$121,524 Vol.
$121,524 Vol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$121,524 Vol.
$121,524 Vol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models point to a daily maximum of 22°C in Tokyo under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and moderate humidity, aligning precisely with the market-implied 100% consensus for that outcome. June climatology shows average highs near 26°C, yet persistent cloud cover and a stable air mass have suppressed daytime warming, consistent with recent observations and ensemble guidance. This positioning reflects traders’ assessment of real-time meteorological data rather than long-term trends. A shift in cloud thickness or unexpected southerly flow could push temperatures a degree or two higher before sunset, though current model runs indicate low probability of such deviation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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