Trader consensus has converged on a 29°C daily maximum for Chengdu on June 12 due to real-time surface observations and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration showing peak temperatures stabilizing near this threshold under prevailing subtropical high pressure and moderate humidity. June climatology supports this range, with typical highs of 28–30°C amid the early monsoon transition, and current steering patterns limit stronger advection of warmer air masses. Official station data, which resolve the market, are expected to confirm this value barring minor calibration adjustments. Unlikely challengers include localized convective heating or station-specific microclimate effects that could push readings to 30°C or higher, though model ensembles currently assign low probability to such deviations before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 12?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 12?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$46,166 Vol.
$46,166 Vol.
2026/06/12
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$46,166 Vol.
$46,166 Vol.
2026/06/12
24°C or below
$1,584 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,687 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,548 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,835 Vol.
No
28°C
$7,863 Vol.
No
29°C
$10,243 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$5,703 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,985 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,012 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,368 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$2,339 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a 29°C daily maximum for Chengdu on June 12 due to real-time surface observations and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration showing peak temperatures stabilizing near this threshold under prevailing subtropical high pressure and moderate humidity. June climatology supports this range, with typical highs of 28–30°C amid the early monsoon transition, and current steering patterns limit stronger advection of warmer air masses. Official station data, which resolve the market, are expected to confirm this value barring minor calibration adjustments. Unlikely challengers include localized convective heating or station-specific microclimate effects that could push readings to 30°C or higher, though model ensembles currently assign low probability to such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 10, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
音量
$46,166終了日
2026/06/12マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 12:16 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a 29°C daily maximum for Chengdu on June 12 due to real-time surface observations and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration showing peak temperatures stabilizing near this threshold under prevailing subtropical high pressure and moderate humidity. June climatology supports this range, with typical highs of 28–30°C amid the early monsoon transition, and current steering patterns limit stronger advection of warmer air masses. Official station data, which resolve the market, are expected to confirm this value barring minor calibration adjustments. Unlikely challengers include localized convective heating or station-specific microclimate effects that could push readings to 30°C or higher, though model ensembles currently assign low probability to such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$46,166終了日
2026/06/12マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 12:16 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus has converged on a 29°C daily maximum for Chengdu on June 12 due to real-time surface observations and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration showing peak temperatures stabilizing near this threshold under prevailing subtropical high pressure and moderate humidity. June climatology supports this range, with typical highs of 28–30°C amid the early monsoon transition, and current steering patterns limit stronger advection of warmer air masses. Official station data, which resolve the market, are expected to confirm this value barring minor calibration adjustments. Unlikely challengers include localized convective heating or station-specific microclimate effects that could push readings to 30°C or higher, though model ensembles currently assign low probability to such deviations before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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