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icon for 6月12日の香港の最低気温は?

6月12日の香港の最低気温は?

icon for 6月12日の香港の最低気温は?

6月12日の香港の最低気温は?

26℃ 99.8%

21°C以下 <1%

22°C <1%

23℃ <1%

Polymarket

$42,932 Vol.

26℃ 99.8%

21°C以下 <1%

22°C <1%

23℃ <1%

Polymarket

$42,932 Vol.

21°C以下

$848 Vol.

<1%

22°C

$944 Vol.

<1%

23℃

$2,444 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$2,932 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$6,758 Vol.

<1%

26℃

$21,873 Vol.

100%

27°C

$4,426 Vol.

<1%

28°C

$908 Vol.

<1%

29℃

$710 Vol.

<1%

30°C

$420 Vol.

<1%

31°C以上

$668 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Weather models and observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory converged on a minimum temperature of 26°C for June 12, reflecting typical early-summer conditions with light winds, high humidity, and no significant cold-air intrusions or cloud-cover anomalies that would depress readings. Historical baselines for the period show overnight lows rarely deviating more than 1–2°C from this value absent unusual synoptic patterns, supporting the market-implied 99.8% consensus for exactly 26°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range in short-range forecasts and the low likelihood of measurement-site variations or model bias. A late-arriving frontal system or localized urban heat-island effects could still shift the recorded low by 1°C, though such developments remain improbable given the stable atmospheric setup.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$42,932
終了日
2026/06/12
マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Weather models and observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory converged on a minimum temperature of 26°C for June 12, reflecting typical early-summer conditions with light winds, high humidity, and no significant cold-air intrusions or cloud-cover anomalies that would depress readings. Historical baselines for the period show overnight lows rarely deviating more than 1–2°C from this value absent unusual synoptic patterns, supporting the market-implied 99.8% consensus for exactly 26°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range in short-range forecasts and the low likelihood of measurement-site variations or model bias. A late-arriving frontal system or localized urban heat-island effects could still shift the recorded low by 1°C, though such developments remain improbable given the stable atmospheric setup.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$42,932
終了日
2026/06/12
マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「6月12日の香港の最低気温は?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「26℃」で100%、次いで「21°C以下」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「6月12日の香港の最低気温は?」は$42.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jun 10, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「6月12日の香港の最低気温は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「6月12日の香港の最低気温は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「26℃」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「21°C以下」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「6月12日の香港の最低気温は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。