Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models indicate a minimum temperature of 25–26°C for June 15 amid thundery showers and high humidity typical of the season, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 44.5% for 26°C and 25.5% for 25°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures are expected overall, yet localized cloud cover, rainfall, and light winds overnight are limiting further warming and supporting these narrow outcomes. Official guidance shows minimal model divergence at this short range, though any shift in steering patterns or precipitation timing could adjust the exact low before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月15日の香港の最低気温は?
26℃ 45%
25°C 26%
27℃ 26%
24°C 7.7%
22℃以下
1%
23℃
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
26%
26℃
45%
27℃
26%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C以上
<1%
26℃ 45%
25°C 26%
27℃ 26%
24°C 7.7%
22℃以下
1%
23℃
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
26%
26℃
45%
27℃
26%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models indicate a minimum temperature of 25–26°C for June 15 amid thundery showers and high humidity typical of the season, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 44.5% for 26°C and 25.5% for 25°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures are expected overall, yet localized cloud cover, rainfall, and light winds overnight are limiting further warming and supporting these narrow outcomes. Official guidance shows minimal model divergence at this short range, though any shift in steering patterns or precipitation timing could adjust the exact low before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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