Miami's mid-June climatology, with average overnight lows near 76°F driven by subtropical warmth and Atlantic moisture, underpins the market's concentration around 76-79°F outcomes. Current National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs point to light winds and partly cloudy conditions limiting radiational cooling, keeping the expected minimum in that narrow band rather than pushing toward rarer sub-74°F readings. Recent upper-level ridging has suppressed thunderstorm activity that could otherwise enhance cooling, while sea surface temperatures near 84°F provide a warm boundary layer baseline. Traders appear to weigh the low historical variance in June minima against any late-model shifts ahead of the overnight period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月15日のマイアミの最低気温は？
6月15日のマイアミの最低気温は？
78〜79°F 39%
76〜77°F 24%
80〜81°F 15%
74〜75°F 5%
新規
新規
2026/06/15
67°F以下
<1%
68〜69°F
1%
70～71°F
1%
72～73°F
3%
74〜75°F
5%
76〜77°F
24%
78〜79°F
39%
80〜81°F
15%
82〜83°F
4%
84～85°F
<1%
86°F以上
<1%
78〜79°F 39%
76〜77°F 24%
80〜81°F 15%
74〜75°F 5%
新規
新規
2026/06/15
67°F以下
$148 Vol.
<1%
68〜69°F
$22 Vol.
1%
70～71°F
$22 Vol.
1%
72～73°F
$219 Vol.
3%
74〜75°F
$16 Vol.
5%
76〜77°F
$0 Vol.
24%
78〜79°F
$22 Vol.
39%
80〜81°F
$16 Vol.
15%
82〜83°F
$17 Vol.
4%
84～85°F
$135 Vol.
<1%
86°F以上
$740 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Miami's mid-June climatology, with average overnight lows near 76°F driven by subtropical warmth and Atlantic moisture, underpins the market's concentration around 76-79°F outcomes. Current National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs point to light winds and partly cloudy conditions limiting radiational cooling, keeping the expected minimum in that narrow band rather than pushing toward rarer sub-74°F readings. Recent upper-level ridging has suppressed thunderstorm activity that could otherwise enhance cooling, while sea surface temperatures near 84°F provide a warm boundary layer baseline. Traders appear to weigh the low historical variance in June minima against any late-model shifts ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
音量
$1,358終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Miami's mid-June climatology, with average overnight lows near 76°F driven by subtropical warmth and Atlantic moisture, underpins the market's concentration around 76-79°F outcomes. Current National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs point to light winds and partly cloudy conditions limiting radiational cooling, keeping the expected minimum in that narrow band rather than pushing toward rarer sub-74°F readings. Recent upper-level ridging has suppressed thunderstorm activity that could otherwise enhance cooling, while sea surface temperatures near 84°F provide a warm boundary layer baseline. Traders appear to weigh the low historical variance in June minima against any late-model shifts ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,358終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ETMiami's mid-June climatology, with average overnight lows near 76°F driven by subtropical warmth and Atlantic moisture, underpins the market's concentration around 76-79°F outcomes. Current National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs point to light winds and partly cloudy conditions limiting radiational cooling, keeping the expected minimum in that narrow band rather than pushing toward rarer sub-74°F readings. Recent upper-level ridging has suppressed thunderstorm activity that could otherwise enhance cooling, while sea surface temperatures near 84°F provide a warm boundary layer baseline. Traders appear to weigh the low historical variance in June minima against any late-model shifts ahead of the overnight period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問