Persistent subtropical high pressure and above-average sea surface temperatures around South Florida have maintained elevated overnight minima near 80°F, consistent with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance projecting a low of 78–80°F at Miami International Airport. June climatology shows typical lows of 76–78°F, but recent days with minima at or above 81°F reflect a warm, humid air mass with limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This setup underpins the market's overwhelming 91% implied probability for the 80–81°F bin. A faster-moving cold front or unusually clear, calm conditions could drop readings into the mid-70s, though current model consensus and the absence of such features make that outcome unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月14日のマイアミの最低気温は?
80〜81°F 91%
78~79°F 7%
76~77°F 2.8%
72~73°F <1%
$5,446 Vol.
$5,446 Vol.
67°F以下
<1%
68〜69°F
<1%
70〜71°F
<1%
72~73°F
1%
74~75°F
<1%
76~77°F
3%
78~79°F
7%
80〜81°F
91%
82~83°F
<1%
84〜85°F
<1%
86°F以上
<1%
80〜81°F 91%
78~79°F 7%
76~77°F 2.8%
72~73°F <1%
$5,446 Vol.
$5,446 Vol.
67°F以下
<1%
68〜69°F
<1%
70〜71°F
<1%
72~73°F
1%
74~75°F
<1%
76~77°F
3%
78~79°F
7%
80〜81°F
91%
82~83°F
<1%
84〜85°F
<1%
86°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent subtropical high pressure and above-average sea surface temperatures around South Florida have maintained elevated overnight minima near 80°F, consistent with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance projecting a low of 78–80°F at Miami International Airport. June climatology shows typical lows of 76–78°F, but recent days with minima at or above 81°F reflect a warm, humid air mass with limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This setup underpins the market's overwhelming 91% implied probability for the 80–81°F bin. A faster-moving cold front or unusually clear, calm conditions could drop readings into the mid-70s, though current model consensus and the absence of such features make that outcome unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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