Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a June 15 high near 76°F in Chicago under mostly sunny skies following a frontal passage, keeping temperatures slightly below the 80.5°F daily normal. Model spread centers outcomes between 74–78°F, driven by modest differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speeds, and any residual cloud cover that could limit daytime heating. This narrow forecast range explains the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 74–77°F bins, with lower odds on extremes reflecting the low likelihood of significant deviations from current consensus runs. Updated model guidance and observations through tonight will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chicago on June 15?
Highest temperature in Chicago on June 15?
76〜77°F 38%
74〜75°F 33%
78〜79°F 15%
72〜73°F 11%
新規
新規
2026/06/15
65°F以下
<1%
66～67°F
<1%
68～69°F
<1%
70〜71°F
2%
72〜73°F
11%
74〜75°F
33%
76〜77°F
38%
78〜79°F
15%
80〜81°F
4%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
1%
76〜77°F 38%
74〜75°F 33%
78〜79°F 15%
72〜73°F 11%
新規
新規
2026/06/15
65°F以下
$223 Vol.
<1%
66～67°F
$269 Vol.
<1%
68～69°F
$140 Vol.
<1%
70〜71°F
$869 Vol.
2%
72〜73°F
$766 Vol.
11%
74〜75°F
$630 Vol.
33%
76〜77°F
$458 Vol.
38%
78〜79°F
$384 Vol.
15%
80〜81°F
$256 Vol.
4%
82-83°F
$629 Vol.
1%
84°F or higher
$775 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a June 15 high near 76°F in Chicago under mostly sunny skies following a frontal passage, keeping temperatures slightly below the 80.5°F daily normal. Model spread centers outcomes between 74–78°F, driven by modest differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speeds, and any residual cloud cover that could limit daytime heating. This narrow forecast range explains the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 74–77°F bins, with lower odds on extremes reflecting the low likelihood of significant deviations from current consensus runs. Updated model guidance and observations through tonight will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
音量
$5,330終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a June 15 high near 76°F in Chicago under mostly sunny skies following a frontal passage, keeping temperatures slightly below the 80.5°F daily normal. Model spread centers outcomes between 74–78°F, driven by modest differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speeds, and any residual cloud cover that could limit daytime heating. This narrow forecast range explains the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 74–77°F bins, with lower odds on extremes reflecting the low likelihood of significant deviations from current consensus runs. Updated model guidance and observations through tonight will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,330終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETLatest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a June 15 high near 76°F in Chicago under mostly sunny skies following a frontal passage, keeping temperatures slightly below the 80.5°F daily normal. Model spread centers outcomes between 74–78°F, driven by modest differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speeds, and any residual cloud cover that could limit daytime heating. This narrow forecast range explains the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 74–77°F bins, with lower odds on extremes reflecting the low likelihood of significant deviations from current consensus runs. Updated model guidance and observations through tonight will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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