Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a cooler-than-normal June 14 in Chicago, with surface high pressure and northerly flow limiting daytime heating below the 80°F climatological average. Light winds, possible morning cloud cover, and modest boundary-layer moisture keep peak readings clustered in the low-to-mid 70s, creating tight market-implied odds between the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins. Small differences in afternoon insolation, lake-breeze timing, or model bias in boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split, while lower-probability tails reflect minimal upside risk from delayed frontal passage. Traders weigh the latest HRRR and NAM runs against historical analogs for similar synoptic patterns when assessing resolution near Midway Airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月14日のシカゴの最高気温は？
6月14日のシカゴの最高気温は？
70～71°F 37%
72〜73°F 33%
68～69°F 20%
74〜75°F 12%
新規
$23,743 Vol.
新規
$23,743 Vol.
2026/06/14
59°F以下
<1%
60〜61°F
<1%
62～63°F
<1%
64～65°F
<1%
66〜67°F
<1%
68～69°F
20%
70～71°F
37%
72〜73°F
33%
74〜75°F
12%
76〜77°F
1%
78°F以上
<1%
70～71°F 37%
72〜73°F 33%
68～69°F 20%
74〜75°F 12%
新規
$23,743 Vol.
新規
$23,743 Vol.
2026/06/14
59°F以下
$559 Vol.
<1%
60〜61°F
$260 Vol.
<1%
62～63°F
$4,498 Vol.
<1%
64～65°F
$3,857 Vol.
<1%
66〜67°F
$3,285 Vol.
<1%
68～69°F
$2,622 Vol.
20%
70～71°F
$2,096 Vol.
37%
72〜73°F
$1,250 Vol.
33%
74〜75°F
$1,232 Vol.
12%
76〜77°F
$947 Vol.
1%
78°F以上
$3,382 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a cooler-than-normal June 14 in Chicago, with surface high pressure and northerly flow limiting daytime heating below the 80°F climatological average. Light winds, possible morning cloud cover, and modest boundary-layer moisture keep peak readings clustered in the low-to-mid 70s, creating tight market-implied odds between the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins. Small differences in afternoon insolation, lake-breeze timing, or model bias in boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split, while lower-probability tails reflect minimal upside risk from delayed frontal passage. Traders weigh the latest HRRR and NAM runs against historical analogs for similar synoptic patterns when assessing resolution near Midway Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
音量
$23,743終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a cooler-than-normal June 14 in Chicago, with surface high pressure and northerly flow limiting daytime heating below the 80°F climatological average. Light winds, possible morning cloud cover, and modest boundary-layer moisture keep peak readings clustered in the low-to-mid 70s, creating tight market-implied odds between the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins. Small differences in afternoon insolation, lake-breeze timing, or model bias in boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split, while lower-probability tails reflect minimal upside risk from delayed frontal passage. Traders weigh the latest HRRR and NAM runs against historical analogs for similar synoptic patterns when assessing resolution near Midway Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$23,743終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a cooler-than-normal June 14 in Chicago, with surface high pressure and northerly flow limiting daytime heating below the 80°F climatological average. Light winds, possible morning cloud cover, and modest boundary-layer moisture keep peak readings clustered in the low-to-mid 70s, creating tight market-implied odds between the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins. Small differences in afternoon insolation, lake-breeze timing, or model bias in boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split, while lower-probability tails reflect minimal upside risk from delayed frontal passage. Traders weigh the latest HRRR and NAM runs against historical analogs for similar synoptic patterns when assessing resolution near Midway Airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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