Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the mid-60s for New York City on June 15, 2026, as a lingering coastal front and variable winds limit radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with possible showers. This keeps the 66-67°F bin as the market favorite while allowing 64-65°F or 68-69°F outcomes if cloud cover or wind shifts alter the minimum. Key variables include the timing of any clearing that enhances cooling, dew-point suppression from northwest flow, and the exact station reading (typically LaGuardia), all of which introduce the observed spread across bins below 64°F or above 70°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of the overnight period remain the primary catalysts for further shifts in trader positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月15日のニューヨークの最低気温は?
66~67°F 30%
64~65°F 19%
68~69°F 15%
62~63°F 9%
55°F以下
1%
56〜57°F
<1%
58~59°F
4%
60〜61°F
3%
62~63°F
9%
64~65°F
19%
66~67°F
31%
68~69°F
15%
70〜71°F
5%
72~73°F
<1%
華氏74度以上
<1%
66~67°F 30%
64~65°F 19%
68~69°F 15%
62~63°F 9%
55°F以下
1%
56〜57°F
<1%
58~59°F
4%
60〜61°F
3%
62~63°F
9%
64~65°F
19%
66~67°F
31%
68~69°F
15%
70〜71°F
5%
72~73°F
<1%
華氏74度以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the mid-60s for New York City on June 15, 2026, as a lingering coastal front and variable winds limit radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with possible showers. This keeps the 66-67°F bin as the market favorite while allowing 64-65°F or 68-69°F outcomes if cloud cover or wind shifts alter the minimum. Key variables include the timing of any clearing that enhances cooling, dew-point suppression from northwest flow, and the exact station reading (typically LaGuardia), all of which introduce the observed spread across bins below 64°F or above 70°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of the overnight period remain the primary catalysts for further shifts in trader positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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