Current ensemble forecasts from global models position a maximum near 16°C as the most probable outcome for Cape Town on June 15, reflecting typical mid-winter high-pressure ridging over the Western Cape that limits daytime warming. Historical June averages hover around 17°C, yet recent short-range runs indicate slight cooling from northerly flow and possible morning fog, narrowing the distribution toward 15–17°C while keeping lower or higher extremes at minimal implied odds. Updated model guidance expected overnight from agencies such as the South African Weather Service will refine this consensus ahead of the daily maximum observation used for market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月15日のケープタウンの最高気温は?
16℃ 49%
15℃ 26%
17°C 24%
18℃ 2.4%
11℃以下
<1%
12℃
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15℃
26%
16℃
49%
17°C
24%
18℃
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C以上
<1%
16℃ 49%
15℃ 26%
17°C 24%
18℃ 2.4%
11℃以下
<1%
12℃
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15℃
26%
16℃
49%
17°C
24%
18℃
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current ensemble forecasts from global models position a maximum near 16°C as the most probable outcome for Cape Town on June 15, reflecting typical mid-winter high-pressure ridging over the Western Cape that limits daytime warming. Historical June averages hover around 17°C, yet recent short-range runs indicate slight cooling from northerly flow and possible morning fog, narrowing the distribution toward 15–17°C while keeping lower or higher extremes at minimal implied odds. Updated model guidance expected overnight from agencies such as the South African Weather Service will refine this consensus ahead of the daily maximum observation used for market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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