Current forecasts from the South African Weather Service and supporting models indicate a daytime maximum near 15–16°C in Cape Town on June 14, shaped by mid-winter conditions with a coastal low promoting showers, stronger onshore winds, and reduced solar heating. These factors suppress temperatures below the seasonal climatological average of roughly 16–17°C while limiting upside potential from clearer skies or offshore flow. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 15°C and 16°C because small differences in cloud timing, wind speed, or frontal passage can shift the observed high by 1°C, with official verification relying on precise station measurements rather than broader regional trends. Traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range against historical June variability of 14–18°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月14日のケープタウンの最高気温は?
15℃ 42%
16°C 34%
14℃ 23%
17°C 3.6%
$16,783 Vol.
$16,783 Vol.
9℃以下
<1%
10℃
<1%
11°C
<1%
12℃
<1%
13°C
<1%
14℃
23%
15℃
42%
16°C
34%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19℃以上
<1%
15℃ 42%
16°C 34%
14℃ 23%
17°C 3.6%
$16,783 Vol.
$16,783 Vol.
9℃以下
<1%
10℃
<1%
11°C
<1%
12℃
<1%
13°C
<1%
14℃
23%
15℃
42%
16°C
34%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from the South African Weather Service and supporting models indicate a daytime maximum near 15–16°C in Cape Town on June 14, shaped by mid-winter conditions with a coastal low promoting showers, stronger onshore winds, and reduced solar heating. These factors suppress temperatures below the seasonal climatological average of roughly 16–17°C while limiting upside potential from clearer skies or offshore flow. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 15°C and 16°C because small differences in cloud timing, wind speed, or frontal passage can shift the observed high by 1°C, with official verification relying on precise station measurements rather than broader regional trends. Traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range against historical June variability of 14–18°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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