Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a strong upper-level ridge driving anomalous warmth across the Pacific Northwest, positioning Seattle's June 15 daily high near 90°F at Sea-Tac. Ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and others show 850 mb temperatures 14–16°C above normal, supporting surface maxima in the upper 80s to low 90s, with some runs reaching 92°F under clear skies and light northerly flow. This setup exceeds the 1963 record of 88°F and aligns with the market's heaviest trading on the 90–91°F bin. Key variables remain the ridge's exact position and any marine layer intrusion, which could cap readings closer to 88°F if timing shifts. Updated model runs and the afternoon forecast discussion will provide the next resolution signals before the 24-hour window closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月15日のシアトルの最高気温は?
90〜91°F 42%
88〜89°F 29%
92~93°F 12.4%
86〜87°F 10%
華氏83度以下
2%
84~85°F
4%
86〜87°F
10%
88〜89°F
29%
90〜91°F
42%
92~93°F
12%
94〜95°F
2%
96~97°F
1%
98~99°F
1%
100~101°F
<1%
102°F以上
<1%
90〜91°F 42%
88〜89°F 29%
92~93°F 12.4%
86〜87°F 10%
華氏83度以下
2%
84~85°F
4%
86〜87°F
10%
88〜89°F
29%
90〜91°F
42%
92~93°F
12%
94〜95°F
2%
96~97°F
1%
98~99°F
1%
100~101°F
<1%
102°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a strong upper-level ridge driving anomalous warmth across the Pacific Northwest, positioning Seattle's June 15 daily high near 90°F at Sea-Tac. Ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and others show 850 mb temperatures 14–16°C above normal, supporting surface maxima in the upper 80s to low 90s, with some runs reaching 92°F under clear skies and light northerly flow. This setup exceeds the 1963 record of 88°F and aligns with the market's heaviest trading on the 90–91°F bin. Key variables remain the ridge's exact position and any marine layer intrusion, which could cap readings closer to 88°F if timing shifts. Updated model runs and the afternoon forecast discussion will provide the next resolution signals before the 24-hour window closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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