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icon for 6月15日のシアトルの最高気温は?

6月15日のシアトルの最高気温は?

icon for 6月15日のシアトルの最高気温は?

6月15日のシアトルの最高気温は?

90〜91°F 42%

88〜89°F 29%

92~93°F 12.4%

86〜87°F 10%

Polymarket
新規

90〜91°F 42%

88〜89°F 29%

92~93°F 12.4%

86〜87°F 10%

Polymarket
新規

華氏83度以下

$520 Vol.

2%

84~85°F

$248 Vol.

4%

86〜87°F

$430 Vol.

10%

88〜89°F

$168 Vol.

29%

90〜91°F

$207 Vol.

42%

92~93°F

$317 Vol.

12%

94〜95°F

$143 Vol.

2%

96~97°F

$273 Vol.

1%

98~99°F

$369 Vol.

1%

100~101°F

$199 Vol.

<1%

102°F以上

$196 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a strong upper-level ridge driving anomalous warmth across the Pacific Northwest, positioning Seattle's June 15 daily high near 90°F at Sea-Tac. Ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and others show 850 mb temperatures 14–16°C above normal, supporting surface maxima in the upper 80s to low 90s, with some runs reaching 92°F under clear skies and light northerly flow. This setup exceeds the 1963 record of 88°F and aligns with the market's heaviest trading on the 90–91°F bin. Key variables remain the ridge's exact position and any marine layer intrusion, which could cap readings closer to 88°F if timing shifts. Updated model runs and the afternoon forecast discussion will provide the next resolution signals before the 24-hour window closes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,061
終了日
2026/06/15
マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a strong upper-level ridge driving anomalous warmth across the Pacific Northwest, positioning Seattle's June 15 daily high near 90°F at Sea-Tac. Ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and others show 850 mb temperatures 14–16°C above normal, supporting surface maxima in the upper 80s to low 90s, with some runs reaching 92°F under clear skies and light northerly flow. This setup exceeds the 1963 record of 88°F and aligns with the market's heaviest trading on the 90–91°F bin. Key variables remain the ridge's exact position and any marine layer intrusion, which could cap readings closer to 88°F if timing shifts. Updated model runs and the afternoon forecast discussion will provide the next resolution signals before the 24-hour window closes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,061
終了日
2026/06/15
マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「6月15日のシアトルの最高気温は?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「90〜91°F」で42%、次いで「88〜89°F」が28%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、42¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に42%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「6月15日のシアトルの最高気温は?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jun 14, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「6月15日のシアトルの最高気温は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「6月15日のシアトルの最高気温は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「90〜91°F」で42%であり、市場がこの結果に42%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「88〜89°F」で28%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「6月15日のシアトルの最高気温は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。