**Latest forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble models supports a daily high in the upper 80s at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), driving the market's strong preference for the 86–89 °F brackets.** A warmer-than-average mid-June air mass, with 850 hPa temperatures running 10–15 °F above climatological norms, combines with light northwest flow and limited marine intrusion to allow strong daytime heating under mostly sunny skies. Afternoon dew points in the 50s and minimal cloud cover further support peak readings near or slightly above the 86 °F daily record set in 1988. Traders have priced in modest upside from the base forecast, consistent with recent model runs showing slightly warmer boundary-layer conditions and the established above-normal June pattern across the Pacific Northwest. Resolution hinges on the official KSEA maximum, which typically occurs between 3–5 p.m. PDT.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seattle on June 14?
88-89°F 56%
86-87°F 37%
84-85°F 3.3%
90-91°F 2.9%
$16,012 Vol.
$16,012 Vol.
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
56%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 56%
86-87°F 37%
84-85°F 3.3%
90-91°F 2.9%
$16,012 Vol.
$16,012 Vol.
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
56%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Latest forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble models supports a daily high in the upper 80s at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), driving the market's strong preference for the 86–89 °F brackets.** A warmer-than-average mid-June air mass, with 850 hPa temperatures running 10–15 °F above climatological norms, combines with light northwest flow and limited marine intrusion to allow strong daytime heating under mostly sunny skies. Afternoon dew points in the 50s and minimal cloud cover further support peak readings near or slightly above the 86 °F daily record set in 1988. Traders have priced in modest upside from the base forecast, consistent with recent model runs showing slightly warmer boundary-layer conditions and the established above-normal June pattern across the Pacific Northwest. Resolution hinges on the official KSEA maximum, which typically occurs between 3–5 p.m. PDT.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問