Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Houston points to a daytime high near 86°F on June 15, driven by moderate Gulf moisture, limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, and a weak steering pattern that has kept temperatures slightly below late-spring climatological norms of 90–92°F. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with most runs clustering between 84–88°F, though small timing shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could nudge the official NWS observation at Bush Intercontinental Airport into adjacent bins. This narrow uncertainty band explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 84–89°F outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月15日のヒューストンの最高気温は?
86~87°F 32%
84~85°F 24%
88〜89°F 17%
82~83°F 13%
75°F以下
<1%
76〜77°F
<1%
78~79°F
2%
80〜81°F
2%
82~83°F
13%
84~85°F
24%
86~87°F
32%
88〜89°F
17%
90~91°F
7%
92~93°F
3%
94°F以上
2%
86~87°F 32%
84~85°F 24%
88〜89°F 17%
82~83°F 13%
75°F以下
<1%
76〜77°F
<1%
78~79°F
2%
80〜81°F
2%
82~83°F
13%
84~85°F
24%
86~87°F
32%
88〜89°F
17%
90~91°F
7%
92~93°F
3%
94°F以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 13, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Houston points to a daytime high near 86°F on June 15, driven by moderate Gulf moisture, limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, and a weak steering pattern that has kept temperatures slightly below late-spring climatological norms of 90–92°F. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with most runs clustering between 84–88°F, though small timing shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could nudge the official NWS observation at Bush Intercontinental Airport into adjacent bins. This narrow uncertainty band explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 84–89°F outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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