Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate Istanbul will experience typical mid-June conditions on the 16th, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 25–26°C under moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits peak insolation. This pattern aligns with climatological averages of 25–26°C for the period and reflects a balance between warming from seasonal solar angles and cooling influences from the adjacent Sea of Marmara. Model spread remains modest but shows sensitivity to exact timing of any passing trough or sea-breeze development, keeping 27°C and 24°C outcomes as plausible alternatives. Updated high-resolution runs and 48-hour observational data ahead of market resolution will refine these temperature thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?
26°C 31%
25°C 27%
27°C 16%
24°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/06/16
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
7%
25°C
25%
26°C
31%
27°C
16%
28°C
5%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 31%
25°C 27%
27°C 16%
24°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/06/16
21°C or below
$81 Vol.
1%
22°C
$104 Vol.
1%
23°C
$13 Vol.
4%
24°C
$14 Vol.
7%
25°C
$50 Vol.
25%
26°C
$46 Vol.
31%
27°C
$23 Vol.
16%
28°C
$16 Vol.
5%
29°C
$17 Vol.
5%
30°C
$110 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$431 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate Istanbul will experience typical mid-June conditions on the 16th, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 25–26°C under moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits peak insolation. This pattern aligns with climatological averages of 25–26°C for the period and reflects a balance between warming from seasonal solar angles and cooling influences from the adjacent Sea of Marmara. Model spread remains modest but shows sensitivity to exact timing of any passing trough or sea-breeze development, keeping 27°C and 24°C outcomes as plausible alternatives. Updated high-resolution runs and 48-hour observational data ahead of market resolution will refine these temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
音量
$745終了日
2026/06/16マーケット開始日
Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate Istanbul will experience typical mid-June conditions on the 16th, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 25–26°C under moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits peak insolation. This pattern aligns with climatological averages of 25–26°C for the period and reflects a balance between warming from seasonal solar angles and cooling influences from the adjacent Sea of Marmara. Model spread remains modest but shows sensitivity to exact timing of any passing trough or sea-breeze development, keeping 27°C and 24°C outcomes as plausible alternatives. Updated high-resolution runs and 48-hour observational data ahead of market resolution will refine these temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$745終了日
2026/06/16マーケット開始日
Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate Istanbul will experience typical mid-June conditions on the 16th, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 25–26°C under moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits peak insolation. This pattern aligns with climatological averages of 25–26°C for the period and reflects a balance between warming from seasonal solar angles and cooling influences from the adjacent Sea of Marmara. Model spread remains modest but shows sensitivity to exact timing of any passing trough or sea-breeze development, keeping 27°C and 24°C outcomes as plausible alternatives. Updated high-resolution runs and 48-hour observational data ahead of market resolution will refine these temperature thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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