Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF IFS and GFS models indicate Istanbul's June 15 maximum temperature will most likely range between 28–30 °C under persistent high pressure and mostly clear skies, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Light southerly winds and limited cloud cover should allow strong diurnal heating, while the city's proximity to the Sea of Marmara and Bosphorus provides some maritime moderation that historically caps mid-June peaks near the 26–27 °C climatological average. Key differentiating factors include small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any diurnal sea-breeze development, and minor model spread in 2-meter temperature fields; official Turkish Meteorological Service observations at stations such as Istanbul Atatürk Airport will determine resolution. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours could shift the consensus if low-level moisture or wind shifts materialize.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 15?
29°C 36%
28°C 26%
30°C 23%
27°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/06/15
26°C or below
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
26%
29°C
36%
30°C
23%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 36%
28°C 26%
30°C 23%
27°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/06/15
26°C or below
$97 Vol.
3%
27°C
$109 Vol.
6%
28°C
$39 Vol.
26%
29°C
$182 Vol.
36%
30°C
$501 Vol.
23%
31°C
$97 Vol.
5%
32°C
$259 Vol.
1%
33°C
$91 Vol.
1%
34°C
$708 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$281 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$184 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF IFS and GFS models indicate Istanbul's June 15 maximum temperature will most likely range between 28–30 °C under persistent high pressure and mostly clear skies, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Light southerly winds and limited cloud cover should allow strong diurnal heating, while the city's proximity to the Sea of Marmara and Bosphorus provides some maritime moderation that historically caps mid-June peaks near the 26–27 °C climatological average. Key differentiating factors include small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any diurnal sea-breeze development, and minor model spread in 2-meter temperature fields; official Turkish Meteorological Service observations at stations such as Istanbul Atatürk Airport will determine resolution. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours could shift the consensus if low-level moisture or wind shifts materialize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
音量
$2,499終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF IFS and GFS models indicate Istanbul's June 15 maximum temperature will most likely range between 28–30 °C under persistent high pressure and mostly clear skies, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Light southerly winds and limited cloud cover should allow strong diurnal heating, while the city's proximity to the Sea of Marmara and Bosphorus provides some maritime moderation that historically caps mid-June peaks near the 26–27 °C climatological average. Key differentiating factors include small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any diurnal sea-breeze development, and minor model spread in 2-meter temperature fields; official Turkish Meteorological Service observations at stations such as Istanbul Atatürk Airport will determine resolution. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours could shift the consensus if low-level moisture or wind shifts materialize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,499終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF IFS and GFS models indicate Istanbul's June 15 maximum temperature will most likely range between 28–30 °C under persistent high pressure and mostly clear skies, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Light southerly winds and limited cloud cover should allow strong diurnal heating, while the city's proximity to the Sea of Marmara and Bosphorus provides some maritime moderation that historically caps mid-June peaks near the 26–27 °C climatological average. Key differentiating factors include small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any diurnal sea-breeze development, and minor model spread in 2-meter temperature fields; official Turkish Meteorological Service observations at stations such as Istanbul Atatürk Airport will determine resolution. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours could shift the consensus if low-level moisture or wind shifts materialize.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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