Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecast guidance from agencies including the German Weather Service indicate a daily maximum temperature of 17°C in Munich on June 12, driven by persistent cloud cover, light precipitation, and limited insolation under a stable northwesterly flow. This setup has kept surface temperatures from rising further despite seasonal solar angles, aligning closely with model consensus that narrows peak readings to 16–17°C. Trader positioning at 99.9% implied probability for 17°C reflects this strong agreement and the late timing relative to resolution criteria. Unseasonal clearing or a sharper wind shift could allow brief warming toward 18°C, though such deviations remain low-probability given current stability indices and observational trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月12日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
6月12日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
17°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$140,926 Vol.
$140,926 Vol.
2026/06/12
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$140,926 Vol.
$140,926 Vol.
2026/06/12
8°C or below
$359 Vol.
No
9°C
$365 Vol.
No
10°C
$3,050 Vol.
No
11°C
$2,981 Vol.
No
12°C
$2,687 Vol.
No
13°C
$35,877 Vol.
No
14°C
$18,765 Vol.
No
15°C
$11,779 Vol.
No
16°C
$15,481 Vol.
No
17°C
$16,242 Vol.
Yes
18°C or higher
$33,339 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecast guidance from agencies including the German Weather Service indicate a daily maximum temperature of 17°C in Munich on June 12, driven by persistent cloud cover, light precipitation, and limited insolation under a stable northwesterly flow. This setup has kept surface temperatures from rising further despite seasonal solar angles, aligning closely with model consensus that narrows peak readings to 16–17°C. Trader positioning at 99.9% implied probability for 17°C reflects this strong agreement and the late timing relative to resolution criteria. Unseasonal clearing or a sharper wind shift could allow brief warming toward 18°C, though such deviations remain low-probability given current stability indices and observational trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 10, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
音量
$140,926終了日
2026/06/12マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 1:07 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecast guidance from agencies including the German Weather Service indicate a daily maximum temperature of 17°C in Munich on June 12, driven by persistent cloud cover, light precipitation, and limited insolation under a stable northwesterly flow. This setup has kept surface temperatures from rising further despite seasonal solar angles, aligning closely with model consensus that narrows peak readings to 16–17°C. Trader positioning at 99.9% implied probability for 17°C reflects this strong agreement and the late timing relative to resolution criteria. Unseasonal clearing or a sharper wind shift could allow brief warming toward 18°C, though such deviations remain low-probability given current stability indices and observational trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$140,926終了日
2026/06/12マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 1:07 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecast guidance from agencies including the German Weather Service indicate a daily maximum temperature of 17°C in Munich on June 12, driven by persistent cloud cover, light precipitation, and limited insolation under a stable northwesterly flow. This setup has kept surface temperatures from rising further despite seasonal solar angles, aligning closely with model consensus that narrows peak readings to 16–17°C. Trader positioning at 99.9% implied probability for 17°C reflects this strong agreement and the late timing relative to resolution criteria. Unseasonal clearing or a sharper wind shift could allow brief warming toward 18°C, though such deviations remain low-probability given current stability indices and observational trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問