**Current model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a strong southerly flow and warmer-than-average conditions favoring a daily maximum of 31°C or higher in Qingdao on June 13.** This setup involves advection of subtropical air masses combined with limited cloud cover and moderate humidity typical for early June along the Yellow Sea coast, pushing surface temperatures above climatological normals of 23–25°C. Recent ensemble runs show minimal spread around the upper end of the distribution, with only modest chances for marine-layer cooling or brief showers to cap readings near 30°C. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 31°C+ reflects high confidence in these guidance trends as the short-range forecast window narrows, though minor revisions in boundary-layer moisture could still influence the exact peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 13?
31°C or higher 76%
30°C 17%
29°C 3.9%
28°C 3.0%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
17%
31°C or higher
76%
31°C or higher 76%
30°C 17%
29°C 3.9%
28°C 3.0%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
17%
31°C or higher
76%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a strong southerly flow and warmer-than-average conditions favoring a daily maximum of 31°C or higher in Qingdao on June 13.** This setup involves advection of subtropical air masses combined with limited cloud cover and moderate humidity typical for early June along the Yellow Sea coast, pushing surface temperatures above climatological normals of 23–25°C. Recent ensemble runs show minimal spread around the upper end of the distribution, with only modest chances for marine-layer cooling or brief showers to cap readings near 30°C. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 31°C+ reflects high confidence in these guidance trends as the short-range forecast window narrows, though minor revisions in boundary-layer moisture could still influence the exact peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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