Recent Met Office guidance for London on June 13 points to a minimum near 13°C under a westerly flow with sunny intervals and gentle breezes, following May's record warmth as conditions normalize toward seasonal averages. Ensemble model spreads from the ECMWF and UKV highlight uncertainty in overnight cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, key drivers of radiative cooling that can shift minima by 1–2°C. Clearer skies promote greater heat loss, favoring outcomes near 12–13°C, while increased moisture or lighter winds could hold readings at 14–15°C. Traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs and surface observations against historical June lows around 11–12°C, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour forecast updates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月13日のロンドンの最低気温は?
10°C 34%
14°C 32%
13°C 24%
15°C 22%
9°C以下
1%
10°C
34%
11°C
19%
12℃
5%
13°C
24%
14°C
32%
15°C
22%
16℃
19%
17°C
3%
18℃
1%
19°C以上
1%
10°C 34%
14°C 32%
13°C 24%
15°C 22%
9°C以下
1%
10°C
34%
11°C
19%
12℃
5%
13°C
24%
14°C
32%
15°C
22%
16℃
19%
17°C
3%
18℃
1%
19°C以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office guidance for London on June 13 points to a minimum near 13°C under a westerly flow with sunny intervals and gentle breezes, following May's record warmth as conditions normalize toward seasonal averages. Ensemble model spreads from the ECMWF and UKV highlight uncertainty in overnight cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, key drivers of radiative cooling that can shift minima by 1–2°C. Clearer skies promote greater heat loss, favoring outcomes near 12–13°C, while increased moisture or lighter winds could hold readings at 14–15°C. Traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs and surface observations against historical June lows around 11–12°C, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour forecast updates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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