Recent forecast models from the Met Office and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature of 10°C for London on June 11, 2026, driven by clear overnight skies promoting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 19°C. This aligns with near-normal early June climatology following May's heat anomaly, with dew points and light winds supporting efficient surface heat loss without significant advection of warmer air. Trader consensus at 96.5% on 10°C reflects high confidence in these model runs, as resolution hinges on official station readings meeting this exact threshold. A shift could occur if unexpected low-level cloud or a late frontal passage raises the overnight low above 10°C, though current guidance shows low probability for such changes before dawn.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月11日のロンドンの最低気温は?
10°C 96.5%
9°C 3.4%
8°C <1%
11°C <1%
$19,584 Vol.
$19,584 Vol.
5℃以下
<1%
6°C
<1%
7℃
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
97%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15℃以上
<1%
10°C 96.5%
9°C 3.4%
8°C <1%
11°C <1%
$19,584 Vol.
$19,584 Vol.
5℃以下
<1%
6°C
<1%
7℃
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
97%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from the Met Office and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature of 10°C for London on June 11, 2026, driven by clear overnight skies promoting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 19°C. This aligns with near-normal early June climatology following May's heat anomaly, with dew points and light winds supporting efficient surface heat loss without significant advection of warmer air. Trader consensus at 96.5% on 10°C reflects high confidence in these model runs, as resolution hinges on official station readings meeting this exact threshold. A shift could occur if unexpected low-level cloud or a late frontal passage raises the overnight low above 10°C, though current guidance shows low probability for such changes before dawn.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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