The overwhelming 100% market-implied odds for a 25°C high in Mexico City on June 10 reflect direct observational confirmation from meteorological stations, aligning precisely with the recorded maximum of 77°F (25°C) under broken cloud conditions. This outcome matches long-term June climatology for the high-altitude capital, where average highs hover near 24–25°C amid the transition into the wet season, with minimal deviation expected from standard surface measurements by agencies like Mexico’s meteorological service. Trader consensus stems from real-time station data and model verification showing no anomalous warming or cooling influences. Only post-analysis revisions to official records or rare instrument calibration issues could alter the result, though such adjustments are infrequent for daily maxima.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 10?
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$51,632 Vol.
$51,632 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$51,632 Vol.
$51,632 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 8, 2026, 10:14 PM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The overwhelming 100% market-implied odds for a 25°C high in Mexico City on June 10 reflect direct observational confirmation from meteorological stations, aligning precisely with the recorded maximum of 77°F (25°C) under broken cloud conditions. This outcome matches long-term June climatology for the high-altitude capital, where average highs hover near 24–25°C amid the transition into the wet season, with minimal deviation expected from standard surface measurements by agencies like Mexico’s meteorological service. Trader consensus stems from real-time station data and model verification showing no anomalous warming or cooling influences. Only post-analysis revisions to official records or rare instrument calibration issues could alter the result, though such adjustments are infrequent for daily maxima.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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