Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration point to a daily maximum in Chongqing on June 11 most likely in the 24–26°C range, aligning with the market’s closely clustered leading outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and a weak frontal boundary are limiting daytime heating below typical June averages near 29–30°C. Model consensus shows modest spread due to uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing skies or local topographic effects in the Sichuan Basin, with resolution hinging on official station readings at the day’s peak. Updated runs and observational data expected later today could refine the final distribution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 11?
25°C 39%
24°C 29%
26°C 22%
27℃ 9%
$19,716 Vol.
$19,716 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
7%
24°C
29%
25°C
39%
26°C
22%
27℃
9%
28°C
1%
29℃
1%
30℃以上
<1%
25°C 39%
24°C 29%
26°C 22%
27℃ 9%
$19,716 Vol.
$19,716 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
7%
24°C
29%
25°C
39%
26°C
22%
27℃
9%
28°C
1%
29℃
1%
30℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration point to a daily maximum in Chongqing on June 11 most likely in the 24–26°C range, aligning with the market’s closely clustered leading outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and a weak frontal boundary are limiting daytime heating below typical June averages near 29–30°C. Model consensus shows modest spread due to uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing skies or local topographic effects in the Sichuan Basin, with resolution hinging on official station readings at the day’s peak. Updated runs and observational data expected later today could refine the final distribution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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