Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami points to overnight lows in the upper 70s on June 12 amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions, with high dew points limiting radiative cooling and sea-breeze effects moderating temperatures. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms and persistent easterly flow are expected to keep skies partly cloudy into the night, preventing sharper drops below 77°F while maintaining the narrow range between 78–81°F that accounts for most market-implied probability. Historical June climatology shows average lows near 77–79°F, with year-to-year variability driven mainly by cloud cover and wind speed rather than large-scale pattern shifts; the tight clustering around these bins reflects trader assessment of limited deviation from this baseline absent an unexpected surge in moisture or clearing skies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月12日のマイアミの最低気温は?
78~79°F 30%
76~77°F 22%
82〜83°F 20%
80~81°F 16%
65°F以下
<1%
66~67°F
<1%
68〜69°F
<1%
70~71°F
1%
72〜73°F
9%
74〜75°F
12%
76~77°F
13%
78~79°F
30%
80~81°F
19%
82〜83°F
20%
84°F以上
1%
78~79°F 30%
76~77°F 22%
82〜83°F 20%
80~81°F 16%
65°F以下
<1%
66~67°F
<1%
68〜69°F
<1%
70~71°F
1%
72〜73°F
9%
74〜75°F
12%
76~77°F
13%
78~79°F
30%
80~81°F
19%
82〜83°F
20%
84°F以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 10, 2026, 8:31 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami points to overnight lows in the upper 70s on June 12 amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions, with high dew points limiting radiative cooling and sea-breeze effects moderating temperatures. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms and persistent easterly flow are expected to keep skies partly cloudy into the night, preventing sharper drops below 77°F while maintaining the narrow range between 78–81°F that accounts for most market-implied probability. Historical June climatology shows average lows near 77–79°F, with year-to-year variability driven mainly by cloud cover and wind speed rather than large-scale pattern shifts; the tight clustering around these bins reflects trader assessment of limited deviation from this baseline absent an unexpected surge in moisture or clearing skies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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