Latest National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs point to a warm air mass advecting into the Northeast, supporting daytime highs in the mid-90s for New York City on June 12, which aligns with the market's heaviest positioning on the 94–97°F bins. Above-average June temperatures, driven by a persistent ridge and reduced cloud cover, have raised the baseline relative to climatological norms of roughly 80°F. Minor model spread around moisture and timing of any sea-breeze effects keeps the 92–93°F and 98–99°F outcomes as secondary possibilities. Final resolution rests on the official Central Park observation, with traders closely monitoring the next model update cycle for any shifts in the thermal profile.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月12日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
6月12日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
94-95°F 35%
92-93°F 27%
96-97°F 26%
90-91°F 13%
新規
新規
2026/06/12
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
13%
92-93°F
27%
94-95°F
35%
96-97°F
19%
98-99°F
11%
100°F or higher
3%
94-95°F 35%
92-93°F 27%
96-97°F 26%
90-91°F 13%
新規
新規
2026/06/12
81°F or below
$106 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$101 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$13 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$13 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$9 Vol.
5%
90-91°F
$63 Vol.
13%
92-93°F
$38 Vol.
27%
94-95°F
$247 Vol.
35%
96-97°F
$61 Vol.
19%
98-99°F
$30 Vol.
11%
100°F or higher
$375 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs point to a warm air mass advecting into the Northeast, supporting daytime highs in the mid-90s for New York City on June 12, which aligns with the market's heaviest positioning on the 94–97°F bins. Above-average June temperatures, driven by a persistent ridge and reduced cloud cover, have raised the baseline relative to climatological norms of roughly 80°F. Minor model spread around moisture and timing of any sea-breeze effects keeps the 92–93°F and 98–99°F outcomes as secondary possibilities. Final resolution rests on the official Central Park observation, with traders closely monitoring the next model update cycle for any shifts in the thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
音量
$1,024終了日
2026/06/12マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs point to a warm air mass advecting into the Northeast, supporting daytime highs in the mid-90s for New York City on June 12, which aligns with the market's heaviest positioning on the 94–97°F bins. Above-average June temperatures, driven by a persistent ridge and reduced cloud cover, have raised the baseline relative to climatological norms of roughly 80°F. Minor model spread around moisture and timing of any sea-breeze effects keeps the 92–93°F and 98–99°F outcomes as secondary possibilities. Final resolution rests on the official Central Park observation, with traders closely monitoring the next model update cycle for any shifts in the thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,024終了日
2026/06/12マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETLatest National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs point to a warm air mass advecting into the Northeast, supporting daytime highs in the mid-90s for New York City on June 12, which aligns with the market's heaviest positioning on the 94–97°F bins. Above-average June temperatures, driven by a persistent ridge and reduced cloud cover, have raised the baseline relative to climatological norms of roughly 80°F. Minor model spread around moisture and timing of any sea-breeze effects keeps the 92–93°F and 98–99°F outcomes as secondary possibilities. Final resolution rests on the official Central Park observation, with traders closely monitoring the next model update cycle for any shifts in the thermal profile.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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