**Trader consensus strongly favors an 18°C low for Tokyo on June 11, 2026, at 99.6% implied probability.** This reflects official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts showing a minimum temperature near the seasonal normal of 18.2–18.3°C under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds and possible scattered showers. Mid-June Tokyo typically experiences this range during the transition out of the rainy season, when nighttime radiative cooling is moderated by humidity and cloud cover rather than clear skies that would allow sharper drops. Recent model runs have remained consistent, with no incoming cold fronts or anomalous pressure systems to alter the thermal profile. The overwhelming market positioning underscores high confidence in these data, as traders weigh the narrow uncertainty band in short-range numerical weather prediction. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in cloud-free conditions or a localized cool-air advection event strong enough to push the overnight minimum 2–3°C below forecast, though current atmospheric guidance makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月11日の東京の最低気温は？
6月11日の東京の最低気温は？
18℃ 99.6%
16°C <1%
15℃ <1%
17℃ <1%
$21,175 Vol.
$21,175 Vol.
2026/06/11
13℃以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15℃
<1%
16°C
1%
17℃
<1%
18℃
100%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C以上
<1%
18℃ 99.6%
16°C <1%
15℃ <1%
17℃ <1%
$21,175 Vol.
$21,175 Vol.
2026/06/11
13℃以下
$517 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,410 Vol.
<1%
15℃
$996 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$862 Vol.
1%
17℃
$1,245 Vol.
<1%
18℃
$2,763 Vol.
100%
19℃
$4,747 Vol.
<1%
20℃
$5,376 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,405 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$739 Vol.
<1%
23°C以上
$1,573 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors an 18°C low for Tokyo on June 11, 2026, at 99.6% implied probability.** This reflects official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts showing a minimum temperature near the seasonal normal of 18.2–18.3°C under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds and possible scattered showers. Mid-June Tokyo typically experiences this range during the transition out of the rainy season, when nighttime radiative cooling is moderated by humidity and cloud cover rather than clear skies that would allow sharper drops.
Recent model runs have remained consistent, with no incoming cold fronts or anomalous pressure systems to alter the thermal profile. The overwhelming market positioning underscores high confidence in these data, as traders weigh the narrow uncertainty band in short-range numerical weather prediction.
A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in cloud-free conditions or a localized cool-air advection event strong enough to push the overnight minimum 2–3°C below forecast, though current atmospheric guidance makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
音量
$21,175終了日
2026/06/11マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors an 18°C low for Tokyo on June 11, 2026, at 99.6% implied probability.** This reflects official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts showing a minimum temperature near the seasonal normal of 18.2–18.3°C under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds and possible scattered showers. Mid-June Tokyo typically experiences this range during the transition out of the rainy season, when nighttime radiative cooling is moderated by humidity and cloud cover rather than clear skies that would allow sharper drops.
Recent model runs have remained consistent, with no incoming cold fronts or anomalous pressure systems to alter the thermal profile. The overwhelming market positioning underscores high confidence in these data, as traders weigh the narrow uncertainty band in short-range numerical weather prediction.
A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in cloud-free conditions or a localized cool-air advection event strong enough to push the overnight minimum 2–3°C below forecast, though current atmospheric guidance makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$21,175終了日
2026/06/11マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET**Trader consensus strongly favors an 18°C low for Tokyo on June 11, 2026, at 99.6% implied probability.** This reflects official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts showing a minimum temperature near the seasonal normal of 18.2–18.3°C under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds and possible scattered showers. Mid-June Tokyo typically experiences this range during the transition out of the rainy season, when nighttime radiative cooling is moderated by humidity and cloud cover rather than clear skies that would allow sharper drops. Recent model runs have remained consistent, with no incoming cold fronts or anomalous pressure systems to alter the thermal profile. The overwhelming market positioning underscores high confidence in these data, as traders weigh the narrow uncertainty band in short-range numerical weather prediction. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in cloud-free conditions or a localized cool-air advection event strong enough to push the overnight minimum 2–3°C below forecast, though current atmospheric guidance makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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