Current ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Istanbul's June 11 high temperature will most likely peak at 24–25°C, reflecting typical early-summer conditions with moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover over the region. Ensemble spreads arise from small differences in predicted timing of peak insolation, local sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus, and minor variations in boundary-layer moisture. Historical June climatology shows daily maxima averaging near 25°C, providing context for the narrow probability distribution. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance expected later today will further refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 11?
24°C 35%
25°C 30%
23°C 17%
26°C 10%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
17%
24°C
35%
25°C
30%
26°C
10%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
24°C 35%
25°C 30%
23°C 17%
26°C 10%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
17%
24°C
35%
25°C
30%
26°C
10%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 9, 2026, 1:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Istanbul's June 11 high temperature will most likely peak at 24–25°C, reflecting typical early-summer conditions with moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover over the region. Ensemble spreads arise from small differences in predicted timing of peak insolation, local sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus, and minor variations in boundary-layer moisture. Historical June climatology shows daily maxima averaging near 25°C, providing context for the narrow probability distribution. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance expected later today will further refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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