National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport, the official Polymarket resolution station for New York City, recorded a daily maximum of 80–81°F on June 9 under partly sunny skies and light southwesterly flow. This aligns precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome and sits near the early-June climatological average high of roughly 79°F. Model consensus from NOAA and private forecasters had converged on this narrow range in the final 24–48 hours, with minimal spread across guidance. A realistic challenge would require a post-analysis revision to the official reading or a station-specific discrepancy exceeding the two-degree band, both of which are rare once preliminary data are verified.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月9日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は?
80〜81°F 100.0%
華氏71度以下 <1%
72~73°F <1%
華氏74~75度 <1%
$127,831 Vol.
$127,831 Vol.
華氏71度以下
いいえ
72~73°F
いいえ
華氏74~75度
いいえ
76〜77°F
いいえ
78〜79°F
いいえ
80〜81°F
はい
82~83°F
いいえ
84~85°F
いいえ
86〜87°F
いいえ
88~89°F
いいえ
90°F以上
いいえ
80〜81°F 100.0%
華氏71度以下 <1%
72~73°F <1%
華氏74~75度 <1%
$127,831 Vol.
$127,831 Vol.
華氏71度以下
いいえ
72~73°F
いいえ
華氏74~75度
いいえ
76〜77°F
いいえ
78〜79°F
いいえ
80〜81°F
はい
82~83°F
いいえ
84~85°F
いいえ
86〜87°F
いいえ
88~89°F
いいえ
90°F以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 7, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport, the official Polymarket resolution station for New York City, recorded a daily maximum of 80–81°F on June 9 under partly sunny skies and light southwesterly flow. This aligns precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome and sits near the early-June climatological average high of roughly 79°F. Model consensus from NOAA and private forecasters had converged on this narrow range in the final 24–48 hours, with minimal spread across guidance. A realistic challenge would require a post-analysis revision to the official reading or a station-specific discrepancy exceeding the two-degree band, both of which are rare once preliminary data are verified.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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