Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate Shenzhen will see mostly overcast skies with thundery showers on June 15, limiting peak solar heating and supporting daily highs near 28–29°C amid typical early-summer monsoon conditions. High humidity and frequent cloud cover in the subtropical climate reduce the likelihood of reaching 30°C or higher, while steering patterns and model consensus keep temperatures above 27°C. Trader sentiment clusters on these two outcomes because minor differences in shower timing or atmospheric stability can shift the daily maximum by 1°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range in short-range numerical weather predictions for the region.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?
29°C 35%
28°C 30%
30°C 22%
27°C 7%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
30%
29°C
35%
30°C
22%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 35%
28°C 30%
30°C 22%
27°C 7%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
30%
29°C
35%
30°C
22%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate Shenzhen will see mostly overcast skies with thundery showers on June 15, limiting peak solar heating and supporting daily highs near 28–29°C amid typical early-summer monsoon conditions. High humidity and frequent cloud cover in the subtropical climate reduce the likelihood of reaching 30°C or higher, while steering patterns and model consensus keep temperatures above 27°C. Trader sentiment clusters on these two outcomes because minor differences in shower timing or atmospheric stability can shift the daily maximum by 1°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range in short-range numerical weather predictions for the region.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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