Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models project a daily maximum near 32°C in Wuhan on June 15, aligning with the market's tight clustering on 31–33°C outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and moderate southerly flow favor gradual warming under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions, consistent with mid-June climatology showing average highs of 30–31°C in the Yangtze valley. Limited precipitation expected reduces cooling from cloud cover or showers, though minor model spreads introduce uncertainty around exact peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Official China Meteorological Administration observations at 14:00 local time will resolve the market, with final guidance updates anticipated overnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 15?
32°C 35%
31°C 30%
33°C 24%
30°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
30%
32°C
35%
33°C
24%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 35%
31°C 30%
33°C 24%
30°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
30%
32°C
35%
33°C
24%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models project a daily maximum near 32°C in Wuhan on June 15, aligning with the market's tight clustering on 31–33°C outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and moderate southerly flow favor gradual warming under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions, consistent with mid-June climatology showing average highs of 30–31°C in the Yangtze valley. Limited precipitation expected reduces cooling from cloud cover or showers, though minor model spreads introduce uncertainty around exact peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Official China Meteorological Administration observations at 14:00 local time will resolve the market, with final guidance updates anticipated overnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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