Current forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a stable high-pressure pattern over the Korean Peninsula, supporting clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate radiative cooling overnight into June 15, which underpins trader focus on an 18–19°C daily minimum in Seoul. Typical early-June climatology features lows near 17–19°C, with the market’s tight split reflecting ensemble spread in numerical weather models over subtle variables such as low-level humidity, light wind speeds, and any late-arriving cloud cover that could limit further cooling. Recent dry conditions have enhanced surface heat loss, while the approaching East Asian monsoon transition introduces minor uncertainty in timing of moisture increases that could raise the minimum by 1°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月15日のソウルの最低気温は?
18°C 38%
19°C 34%
20°C 11%
17°C 8%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
8%
18°C
38%
19°C
34%
20°C
11%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 38%
19°C 34%
20°C 11%
17°C 8%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
8%
18°C
38%
19°C
34%
20°C
11%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a stable high-pressure pattern over the Korean Peninsula, supporting clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate radiative cooling overnight into June 15, which underpins trader focus on an 18–19°C daily minimum in Seoul. Typical early-June climatology features lows near 17–19°C, with the market’s tight split reflecting ensemble spread in numerical weather models over subtle variables such as low-level humidity, light wind speeds, and any late-arriving cloud cover that could limit further cooling. Recent dry conditions have enhanced surface heat loss, while the approaching East Asian monsoon transition introduces minor uncertainty in timing of moisture increases that could raise the minimum by 1°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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