**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 21°C low for Seoul on June 14, 2026 (69% implied probability), with 20°C a distant second (23.5%).** This positioning aligns with short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and international models showing overnight minima near 17–19°C under mostly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and elevated humidity that limits radiative cooling. Historical June averages place typical morning lows at 16–19°C, with 2026 trends running slightly above normal due to early-season warmth. Recent developments include persistent mild conditions through mid-month, with daytime highs reaching 29–30°C and minimal nocturnal drops, as confirmed by station observations at Incheon International Airport (the resolution source). Cloud cover and a lack of strong high-pressure systems have kept temperatures from falling further, supporting the market's concentration around 20–21°C while assigning low probability to cooler outcomes below 19°C. Upcoming KMA updates and final station readings will determine resolution, with traders pricing in limited downside risk given current atmospheric stability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月14日のソウルの最低気温は?
21°C 70%
20°C 23%
19°C 16%
18°C 1.7%
15°C以下
<1%
16℃
1%
17℃
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
16%
20°C
23%
21°C
69%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25℃以上
<1%
21°C 70%
20°C 23%
19°C 16%
18°C 1.7%
15°C以下
<1%
16℃
1%
17℃
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
16%
20°C
23%
21°C
69%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 21°C low for Seoul on June 14, 2026 (69% implied probability), with 20°C a distant second (23.5%).** This positioning aligns with short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and international models showing overnight minima near 17–19°C under mostly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and elevated humidity that limits radiative cooling. Historical June averages place typical morning lows at 16–19°C, with 2026 trends running slightly above normal due to early-season warmth. Recent developments include persistent mild conditions through mid-month, with daytime highs reaching 29–30°C and minimal nocturnal drops, as confirmed by station observations at Incheon International Airport (the resolution source). Cloud cover and a lack of strong high-pressure systems have kept temperatures from falling further, supporting the market's concentration around 20–21°C while assigning low probability to cooler outcomes below 19°C. Upcoming KMA updates and final station readings will determine resolution, with traders pricing in limited downside risk given current atmospheric stability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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