Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a highest temperature in Guangzhou of 29–31°C on June 15, aligning with the market’s closely matched leading outcomes around 30°C. In this subtropical monsoon climate, typical early-summer conditions feature high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating, keeping peaks near the June average of 31°C. Recent model runs show minor variations driven by the timing and intensity of precipitation, with clearer intervals potentially allowing brief rises toward 31–32°C while sustained rain favors the lower end of the range. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes these uncertainties in short-range forecasts, which traders weigh against historical June maxima.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 15?
30°C 27%
29°C 22%
31°C 16%
28°C 14%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
14%
29°C
22%
30°C
27%
31°C
16%
32°C or higher
11%
30°C 27%
29°C 22%
31°C 16%
28°C 14%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
14%
29°C
22%
30°C
27%
31°C
16%
32°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a highest temperature in Guangzhou of 29–31°C on June 15, aligning with the market’s closely matched leading outcomes around 30°C. In this subtropical monsoon climate, typical early-summer conditions feature high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating, keeping peaks near the June average of 31°C. Recent model runs show minor variations driven by the timing and intensity of precipitation, with clearer intervals potentially allowing brief rises toward 31–32°C while sustained rain favors the lower end of the range. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes these uncertainties in short-range forecasts, which traders weigh against historical June maxima.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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