Trader sentiment for Wellington’s June 15 maximum temperature centers on the narrow gap between 16 °C and 17 °C because numerical weather prediction models show only modest differences in afternoon boundary-layer warming. A transient northerly flow ahead of an approaching front can briefly advect warmer air from the Tasman Sea, pushing readings toward 17 °C, while stronger southerly winds or increased low-cloud cover behind the front favor 16 °C. Current MetService and global ensemble guidance place the most likely peak near the seasonal average of 13 °C but with a warm bias in the afternoon window; small shifts in frontal timing or wind speed of just 5–10 km/h are enough to tip the outcome between these two bins. With resolution hours away, traders are weighting the latest model runs and local observations that refine surface heating potential under partly cloudy skies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wellington on June 15?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 15?
16°C 47%
17°C 43%
18°C 5%
15°C 3.5%
新規
新規
2026/06/15
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
47%
17°C
43%
18°C
5%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 47%
17°C 43%
18°C 5%
15°C 3.5%
新規
新規
2026/06/15
11°C or below
$117 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$865 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$286 Vol.
1%
15°C
$859 Vol.
3%
16°C
$373 Vol.
47%
17°C
$1,124 Vol.
43%
18°C
$465 Vol.
5%
19°C
$116 Vol.
1%
20°C
$547 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$352 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Wellington’s June 15 maximum temperature centers on the narrow gap between 16 °C and 17 °C because numerical weather prediction models show only modest differences in afternoon boundary-layer warming. A transient northerly flow ahead of an approaching front can briefly advect warmer air from the Tasman Sea, pushing readings toward 17 °C, while stronger southerly winds or increased low-cloud cover behind the front favor 16 °C. Current MetService and global ensemble guidance place the most likely peak near the seasonal average of 13 °C but with a warm bias in the afternoon window; small shifts in frontal timing or wind speed of just 5–10 km/h are enough to tip the outcome between these two bins. With resolution hours away, traders are weighting the latest model runs and local observations that refine surface heating potential under partly cloudy skies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
音量
$5,232終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Wellington’s June 15 maximum temperature centers on the narrow gap between 16 °C and 17 °C because numerical weather prediction models show only modest differences in afternoon boundary-layer warming. A transient northerly flow ahead of an approaching front can briefly advect warmer air from the Tasman Sea, pushing readings toward 17 °C, while stronger southerly winds or increased low-cloud cover behind the front favor 16 °C. Current MetService and global ensemble guidance place the most likely peak near the seasonal average of 13 °C but with a warm bias in the afternoon window; small shifts in frontal timing or wind speed of just 5–10 km/h are enough to tip the outcome between these two bins. With resolution hours away, traders are weighting the latest model runs and local observations that refine surface heating potential under partly cloudy skies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,232終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETTrader sentiment for Wellington’s June 15 maximum temperature centers on the narrow gap between 16 °C and 17 °C because numerical weather prediction models show only modest differences in afternoon boundary-layer warming. A transient northerly flow ahead of an approaching front can briefly advect warmer air from the Tasman Sea, pushing readings toward 17 °C, while stronger southerly winds or increased low-cloud cover behind the front favor 16 °C. Current MetService and global ensemble guidance place the most likely peak near the seasonal average of 13 °C but with a warm bias in the afternoon window; small shifts in frontal timing or wind speed of just 5–10 km/h are enough to tip the outcome between these two bins. With resolution hours away, traders are weighting the latest model runs and local observations that refine surface heating potential under partly cloudy skies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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