Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Finnish Meteorological Institute models indicate a highest temperature in Helsinki on June 15 most likely between 16–18°C, aligning closely with the market’s leading probabilities of 38.5% for 17°C and 29% for 18°C. Unsettled conditions with light rain or showers, northerly flow, and variable cloud cover are expected to limit daytime heating near seasonal norms for mid-June, while brief clearer intervals could allow peaks near 18°C. Model spread remains modest but sufficient to support the secondary 16°C (15.5%) outcome if precipitation arrives earlier than anticipated. Official observations and updated short-range guidance through the evening of June 14 will refine resolution criteria based on the daily maximum recorded at Helsinki-Vantaa or equivalent stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Helsinki on June 15?
17°C 39%
18°C 29%
16°C 16%
19°C 10%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
16%
17°C
39%
18°C
29%
19°C
10%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 39%
18°C 29%
16°C 16%
19°C 10%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
16%
17°C
39%
18°C
29%
19°C
10%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Finnish Meteorological Institute models indicate a highest temperature in Helsinki on June 15 most likely between 16–18°C, aligning closely with the market’s leading probabilities of 38.5% for 17°C and 29% for 18°C. Unsettled conditions with light rain or showers, northerly flow, and variable cloud cover are expected to limit daytime heating near seasonal norms for mid-June, while brief clearer intervals could allow peaks near 18°C. Model spread remains modest but sufficient to support the secondary 16°C (15.5%) outcome if precipitation arrives earlier than anticipated. Official observations and updated short-range guidance through the evening of June 14 will refine resolution criteria based on the daily maximum recorded at Helsinki-Vantaa or equivalent stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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