Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance for London on June 14, 2026, converged on an overnight minimum of 13°C under building high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote moderate radiative cooling without deeper drops. This consensus, backed by real-time observations at key stations like Heathrow, underpins the 99.1% market-implied probability for 13°C as the daily low. Traders treat this as the resolution threshold given the day's proximity and limited remaining uncertainty in steering patterns or cloud cover. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected wind increases or thicker low-level cloud that limit cooling, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before the market resolves.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月14日のロンドンの最低気温は？
6月14日のロンドンの最低気温は？
13℃ 99.3%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
7°C以下 <1%
$13,581 Vol.
$13,581 Vol.
2026/06/14
7°C以下
<1%
8℃
<1%
9℃
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13℃
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17℃以上
<1%
13℃ 99.3%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
7°C以下 <1%
$13,581 Vol.
$13,581 Vol.
2026/06/14
7°C以下
$790 Vol.
<1%
8℃
$733 Vol.
<1%
9℃
$539 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$743 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,864 Vol.
1%
12°C
$1,204 Vol.
<1%
13℃
$4,778 Vol.
99%
14°C
$1,712 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,002 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,026 Vol.
<1%
17℃以上
$585 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance for London on June 14, 2026, converged on an overnight minimum of 13°C under building high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote moderate radiative cooling without deeper drops. This consensus, backed by real-time observations at key stations like Heathrow, underpins the 99.1% market-implied probability for 13°C as the daily low. Traders treat this as the resolution threshold given the day's proximity and limited remaining uncertainty in steering patterns or cloud cover. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected wind increases or thicker low-level cloud that limit cooling, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$13,581終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance for London on June 14, 2026, converged on an overnight minimum of 13°C under building high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote moderate radiative cooling without deeper drops. This consensus, backed by real-time observations at key stations like Heathrow, underpins the 99.1% market-implied probability for 13°C as the daily low. Traders treat this as the resolution threshold given the day's proximity and limited remaining uncertainty in steering patterns or cloud cover. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected wind increases or thicker low-level cloud that limit cooling, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$13,581終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Met Office and ensemble model guidance for London on June 14, 2026, converged on an overnight minimum of 13°C under building high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote moderate radiative cooling without deeper drops. This consensus, backed by real-time observations at key stations like Heathrow, underpins the 99.1% market-implied probability for 13°C as the daily low. Traders treat this as the resolution threshold given the day's proximity and limited remaining uncertainty in steering patterns or cloud cover. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected wind increases or thicker low-level cloud that limit cooling, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before the market resolves.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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