Recent forecast updates from global and regional models indicate a moderating influence from increased cloud cover and possible light precipitation on June 16, anchoring trader consensus around 27–28°C as the most probable daily maximum for Beijing. This aligns with early June warming trends across northern China giving way to transitional East Asian monsoon patterns that can suppress afternoon highs through reduced solar insolation. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to the precise timing of any weak frontal boundary or shower activity, with historical mid-June averages near 30°C providing context but recent observations showing greater variability. Updated numerical weather prediction runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月16日の北京の最高気温は?
28℃ 28%
27℃ 25%
26°C 12%
29℃ 12%
21℃以下
<1%
22℃
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25℃
9%
26°C
12%
27℃
25%
28℃
28%
29℃
12%
30℃
1%
31℃以上
2%
28℃ 28%
27℃ 25%
26°C 12%
29℃ 12%
21℃以下
<1%
22℃
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25℃
9%
26°C
12%
27℃
25%
28℃
28%
29℃
12%
30℃
1%
31℃以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast updates from global and regional models indicate a moderating influence from increased cloud cover and possible light precipitation on June 16, anchoring trader consensus around 27–28°C as the most probable daily maximum for Beijing. This aligns with early June warming trends across northern China giving way to transitional East Asian monsoon patterns that can suppress afternoon highs through reduced solar insolation. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to the precise timing of any weak frontal boundary or shower activity, with historical mid-June averages near 30°C providing context but recent observations showing greater variability. Updated numerical weather prediction runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問