Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Shanghai maximum temperatures on June 16 centered near 26–27°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light precipitation typical of the early Meiyu (plum rain) season, which limits daytime solar heating. Moderate southerly flow and high humidity further moderate peaks, keeping values close to seasonal norms around 27°C. Small probability spreads across adjacent bins reflect model spread in exact timing of any partial clearing or wind shifts. New 0z/12z runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key updates traders monitor before resolution, as even modest changes in boundary-layer moisture or insolation can shift the daily high by 1–2°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 16?
27°C 32%
26°C 31%
25°C 16%
28°C 9.9%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
10%
25°C
16%
26°C
31%
27°C
32%
28°C
10%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 32%
26°C 31%
25°C 16%
28°C 9.9%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
10%
25°C
16%
26°C
31%
27°C
32%
28°C
10%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Shanghai maximum temperatures on June 16 centered near 26–27°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light precipitation typical of the early Meiyu (plum rain) season, which limits daytime solar heating. Moderate southerly flow and high humidity further moderate peaks, keeping values close to seasonal norms around 27°C. Small probability spreads across adjacent bins reflect model spread in exact timing of any partial clearing or wind shifts. New 0z/12z runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key updates traders monitor before resolution, as even modest changes in boundary-layer moisture or insolation can shift the daily high by 1–2°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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