Recent meteorological forecasts for Beijing indicate maximum temperatures on June 17 likely ranging 30–32°C under partly to mostly cloudy conditions with isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms, keeping the market's leading 31°C and 32°C outcomes tightly contested at 28.5% and 34.0% implied probability. Model consensus highlights modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky baselines, while Beijing's urban heat island adds localized warming. Historical June averages near 30°C and current steering patterns support this narrow band, with new model runs or observational updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine resolution criteria ahead of the June 17 close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Beijing on June 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 17?
32°C 34%
31°C 29%
30°C 16%
29°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/06/17
28°C or below
7%
29°C
9%
30°C
16%
31°C
29%
32°C
34%
33°C
7%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 34%
31°C 29%
30°C 16%
29°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/06/17
28°C or below
$19 Vol.
7%
29°C
$25 Vol.
9%
30°C
$20 Vol.
16%
31°C
$31 Vol.
29%
32°C
$32 Vol.
34%
33°C
$0 Vol.
7%
34°C
$193 Vol.
5%
35°C
$142 Vol.
1%
36°C
$70 Vol.
1%
37°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Beijing indicate maximum temperatures on June 17 likely ranging 30–32°C under partly to mostly cloudy conditions with isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms, keeping the market's leading 31°C and 32°C outcomes tightly contested at 28.5% and 34.0% implied probability. Model consensus highlights modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky baselines, while Beijing's urban heat island adds localized warming. Historical June averages near 30°C and current steering patterns support this narrow band, with new model runs or observational updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine resolution criteria ahead of the June 17 close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
音量
$532終了日
2026/06/17マーケット開始日
Jun 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Beijing indicate maximum temperatures on June 17 likely ranging 30–32°C under partly to mostly cloudy conditions with isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms, keeping the market's leading 31°C and 32°C outcomes tightly contested at 28.5% and 34.0% implied probability. Model consensus highlights modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky baselines, while Beijing's urban heat island adds localized warming. Historical June averages near 30°C and current steering patterns support this narrow band, with new model runs or observational updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine resolution criteria ahead of the June 17 close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$532終了日
2026/06/17マーケット開始日
Jun 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ETRecent meteorological forecasts for Beijing indicate maximum temperatures on June 17 likely ranging 30–32°C under partly to mostly cloudy conditions with isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms, keeping the market's leading 31°C and 32°C outcomes tightly contested at 28.5% and 34.0% implied probability. Model consensus highlights modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky baselines, while Beijing's urban heat island adds localized warming. Historical June averages near 30°C and current steering patterns support this narrow band, with new model runs or observational updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine resolution criteria ahead of the June 17 close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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