Shanghai's minimum temperature on June 17 is expected near 22–24°C amid the East Asian monsoon’s plum rain (Meiyu) regime, which brings widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Official guidance from regional models shows overnight lows moderated by persistent moisture and light winds, with historical mid-June climatology centering around 21–23°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C reflects ensemble spread in precipitation timing and cloud thickness, both of which can shift the daily minimum by 1–2°C. Updated forecasts from the next 24–48 hours will refine whether any clearer break allows slightly lower readings or whether enhanced rain keeps values closer to 23°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月17日の上海の最低気温は?
23℃ 30%
22℃ 24%
24℃ 18%
21°C 12%
18℃以下
3%
19℃
4%
20°C
11%
21°C
12%
22℃
24%
23℃
30%
24℃
18%
25℃
10%
26°C
1%
27℃
<1%
28°C以上
<1%
23℃ 30%
22℃ 24%
24℃ 18%
21°C 12%
18℃以下
3%
19℃
4%
20°C
11%
21°C
12%
22℃
24%
23℃
30%
24℃
18%
25℃
10%
26°C
1%
27℃
<1%
28°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Shanghai's minimum temperature on June 17 is expected near 22–24°C amid the East Asian monsoon’s plum rain (Meiyu) regime, which brings widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Official guidance from regional models shows overnight lows moderated by persistent moisture and light winds, with historical mid-June climatology centering around 21–23°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C reflects ensemble spread in precipitation timing and cloud thickness, both of which can shift the daily minimum by 1–2°C. Updated forecasts from the next 24–48 hours will refine whether any clearer break allows slightly lower readings or whether enhanced rain keeps values closer to 23°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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