**High-pressure systems building over western Europe have stabilized clear to mostly clear skies for Paris on June 17, 2026, supporting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30–33 °C.** Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and international models cluster overnight lows in the 16–18 °C range, with trader-implied probabilities tightly bunched around 15–17 °C because small differences in boundary-layer wind, low-level humidity, or residual cloud cover can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Clear skies promote stronger surface heat loss after sunset, while light southwesterly winds (around 5–10 km/h) limit mixing and allow the urban heat island to moderate the coolest readings near the city center. Recent model runs show modest spread in the timing of any subtle moisture return, keeping the distribution centered near 16 °C yet leaving room for 15 °C or 17 °C outcomes depending on the final forecast update. Historical June climatology places typical Paris minima around 13–15 °C, but the current synoptic pattern favors values several degrees above average.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月17日のパリの最低気温は?
15°C 27%
16°C 26%
17°C 21%
14℃ 16%
13℃以下
5%
14℃
16%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C
21%
18°C
5%
19℃
4%
20℃
4%
21℃
2%
22℃
<1%
23°C以上
<1%
15°C 27%
16°C 26%
17°C 21%
14℃ 16%
13℃以下
5%
14℃
16%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C
21%
18°C
5%
19℃
4%
20℃
4%
21℃
2%
22℃
<1%
23°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**High-pressure systems building over western Europe have stabilized clear to mostly clear skies for Paris on June 17, 2026, supporting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30–33 °C.** Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and international models cluster overnight lows in the 16–18 °C range, with trader-implied probabilities tightly bunched around 15–17 °C because small differences in boundary-layer wind, low-level humidity, or residual cloud cover can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Clear skies promote stronger surface heat loss after sunset, while light southwesterly winds (around 5–10 km/h) limit mixing and allow the urban heat island to moderate the coolest readings near the city center. Recent model runs show modest spread in the timing of any subtle moisture return, keeping the distribution centered near 16 °C yet leaving room for 15 °C or 17 °C outcomes depending on the final forecast update. Historical June climatology places typical Paris minima around 13–15 °C, but the current synoptic pattern favors values several degrees above average.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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