Recent forecast model runs from sources like the BBC and European weather services indicate a high-pressure ridge building over central Europe, supporting afternoon highs of 26–28°C in Munich on June 17 amid light westerly winds and mostly sunny intervals. This consensus, with limited model spread and minimal precipitation risk, underpins the market's tight clustering around 27°C as the modal outcome, reflecting traders' assessment of stable synoptic conditions and historical June maxima near 22–25°C. Minor downward revisions in some ensembles could shift probabilities toward 26°C if cloud cover increases, while any further warming would favor 28°C resolution. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these near-term odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Munich on June 17?
27°C 37%
26°C 29%
28°C 20%
25°C 10%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
10%
26°C
29%
27°C
37%
28°C
20%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
2%
27°C 37%
26°C 29%
28°C 20%
25°C 10%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
10%
26°C
29%
27°C
37%
28°C
20%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model runs from sources like the BBC and European weather services indicate a high-pressure ridge building over central Europe, supporting afternoon highs of 26–28°C in Munich on June 17 amid light westerly winds and mostly sunny intervals. This consensus, with limited model spread and minimal precipitation risk, underpins the market's tight clustering around 27°C as the modal outcome, reflecting traders' assessment of stable synoptic conditions and historical June maxima near 22–25°C. Minor downward revisions in some ensembles could shift probabilities toward 26°C if cloud cover increases, while any further warming would favor 28°C resolution. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these near-term odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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