Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model forecasts indicate unsettled conditions with showers and thunderstorms likely on June 18, supporting trader consensus around 28–30 °C as the most probable daily maximum. Seasonal outlooks already flag above-normal temperatures for the June–August period due to long-term warming trends, yet short-term variability from moisture and cloud cover introduces meaningful uncertainty that narrows the odds on extremes. Key variables include steering flow strength, convective timing, and localized urban heat effects, all of which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Updated HKO and numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 18?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 18?
29°C 35%
28°C 24%
30°C 20%
31°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/06/18
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
24%
29°C
35%
30°C
20%
31°C
9%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 35%
28°C 24%
30°C 20%
31°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/06/18
24°C or below
$99 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$156 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$470 Vol.
1%
27°C
$214 Vol.
8%
28°C
$310 Vol.
24%
29°C
$276 Vol.
35%
30°C
$247 Vol.
20%
31°C
$328 Vol.
9%
32°C
$135 Vol.
3%
33°C
$147 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$93 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model forecasts indicate unsettled conditions with showers and thunderstorms likely on June 18, supporting trader consensus around 28–30 °C as the most probable daily maximum. Seasonal outlooks already flag above-normal temperatures for the June–August period due to long-term warming trends, yet short-term variability from moisture and cloud cover introduces meaningful uncertainty that narrows the odds on extremes. Key variables include steering flow strength, convective timing, and localized urban heat effects, all of which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Updated HKO and numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Jun 16, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
音量
$2,461終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Jun 16, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model forecasts indicate unsettled conditions with showers and thunderstorms likely on June 18, supporting trader consensus around 28–30 °C as the most probable daily maximum. Seasonal outlooks already flag above-normal temperatures for the June–August period due to long-term warming trends, yet short-term variability from moisture and cloud cover introduces meaningful uncertainty that narrows the odds on extremes. Key variables include steering flow strength, convective timing, and localized urban heat effects, all of which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Updated HKO and numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$2,461終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Jun 16, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model forecasts indicate unsettled conditions with showers and thunderstorms likely on June 18, supporting trader consensus around 28–30 °C as the most probable daily maximum. Seasonal outlooks already flag above-normal temperatures for the June–August period due to long-term warming trends, yet short-term variability from moisture and cloud cover introduces meaningful uncertainty that narrows the odds on extremes. Key variables include steering flow strength, convective timing, and localized urban heat effects, all of which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Updated HKO and numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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