**Latest Met Office and ECMWF guidance shows warm, largely sunny conditions across southeast England on June 18, driven by high pressure favoring warm-air advection and strong daytime heating.** This setup positions maximum temperatures most likely in the 27–29 °C range, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (28 °C at 39.5 %, 27 °C at 25.5 %, 29 °C at 17.5 %). Mid-June solar insolation peaks near 16–17 hours of daylight, amplifying surface warming under clear skies, while near-normal June climatology (average highs ~20–22 °C) makes these values notably above average yet within recent model spreads. Recent shifts from May’s heatwave toward more settled but still warm southeast flow have reinforced trader consensus around these thresholds, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter extremes pending final model runs and observational updates before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in London on June 18?
Highest temperature in London on June 18?
28℃ 40%
27°C 26%
29°C 18%
26°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/06/18
22°C以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
12%
27°C
26%
28℃
40%
29°C
18%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28℃ 40%
27°C 26%
29°C 18%
26°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/06/18
22°C以下
$368 Vol.
<1%
23℃
$199 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$249 Vol.
1%
25°C
$436 Vol.
4%
26°C
$266 Vol.
12%
27°C
$406 Vol.
26%
28℃
$679 Vol.
40%
29°C
$590 Vol.
18%
30°C
$230 Vol.
3%
31°C
$380 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$419 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest Met Office and ECMWF guidance shows warm, largely sunny conditions across southeast England on June 18, driven by high pressure favoring warm-air advection and strong daytime heating.** This setup positions maximum temperatures most likely in the 27–29 °C range, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (28 °C at 39.5 %, 27 °C at 25.5 %, 29 °C at 17.5 %). Mid-June solar insolation peaks near 16–17 hours of daylight, amplifying surface warming under clear skies, while near-normal June climatology (average highs ~20–22 °C) makes these values notably above average yet within recent model spreads. Recent shifts from May’s heatwave toward more settled but still warm southeast flow have reinforced trader consensus around these thresholds, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter extremes pending final model runs and observational updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
音量
$4,215終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest Met Office and ECMWF guidance shows warm, largely sunny conditions across southeast England on June 18, driven by high pressure favoring warm-air advection and strong daytime heating.** This setup positions maximum temperatures most likely in the 27–29 °C range, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (28 °C at 39.5 %, 27 °C at 25.5 %, 29 °C at 17.5 %). Mid-June solar insolation peaks near 16–17 hours of daylight, amplifying surface warming under clear skies, while near-normal June climatology (average highs ~20–22 °C) makes these values notably above average yet within recent model spreads. Recent shifts from May’s heatwave toward more settled but still warm southeast flow have reinforced trader consensus around these thresholds, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter extremes pending final model runs and observational updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,215終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ET**Latest Met Office and ECMWF guidance shows warm, largely sunny conditions across southeast England on June 18, driven by high pressure favoring warm-air advection and strong daytime heating.** This setup positions maximum temperatures most likely in the 27–29 °C range, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (28 °C at 39.5 %, 27 °C at 25.5 %, 29 °C at 17.5 %). Mid-June solar insolation peaks near 16–17 hours of daylight, amplifying surface warming under clear skies, while near-normal June climatology (average highs ~20–22 °C) makes these values notably above average yet within recent model spreads. Recent shifts from May’s heatwave toward more settled but still warm southeast flow have reinforced trader consensus around these thresholds, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter extremes pending final model runs and observational updates before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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