Recent Météo-France guidance and supporting model runs highlight building high pressure and clear skies driving a sharp warming trend across northern France, positioning Paris for a potential heat peak on June 18 with daytime maxima near 36°C. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread around this value, reflecting consistent signals for strong insolation and light winds, though minor differences in exact timing of the thermal maximum or boundary-layer mixing keep 35°C as a close second. Historical June baselines in Paris average 22–24°C, making the current anomaly notable but within plausible model uncertainty ranges typical for 48-hour outlooks. Traders are weighting the official agency consensus most heavily while monitoring the next update cycle for any downward revision in peak readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Paris on June 18?
36°C 38%
35°C 32%
34°C 11%
37°C 9%
32°C or below
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
11%
35°C
32%
36°C
38%
37°C
9%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 38%
35°C 32%
34°C 11%
37°C 9%
32°C or below
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
11%
35°C
32%
36°C
38%
37°C
9%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Météo-France guidance and supporting model runs highlight building high pressure and clear skies driving a sharp warming trend across northern France, positioning Paris for a potential heat peak on June 18 with daytime maxima near 36°C. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread around this value, reflecting consistent signals for strong insolation and light winds, though minor differences in exact timing of the thermal maximum or boundary-layer mixing keep 35°C as a close second. Historical June baselines in Paris average 22–24°C, making the current anomaly notable but within plausible model uncertainty ranges typical for 48-hour outlooks. Traders are weighting the official agency consensus most heavily while monitoring the next update cycle for any downward revision in peak readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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