Recent European forecast models, including BBC guidance, point to sunny skies and light easterly winds over Munich on June 18, favoring a daily maximum near 31 °C as the leading market outcome. This reflects a transient ridge of high pressure suppressing cloud cover and allowing strong solar insolation during peak daytime heating hours, with minimal advection of cooler air. Ensemble spreads and slight timing differences in the warmest hour keep 30 °C and 32 °C probabilities competitive at 27.5 % and 17 %, while lower odds on 29 °C or 33 °C capture residual model divergence. Updated runs from agencies such as DWD or ECMWF ahead of resolution will likely tighten the distribution as the event approaches.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Munich on June 18?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 18?
31°C 34%
30°C 28%
32°C 15%
29°C 8.1%
新規
$12,385 Vol.
新規
$12,385 Vol.
2026/06/18
24℃以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
28%
31°C
34%
32°C
15%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 34%
30°C 28%
32°C 15%
29°C 8.1%
新規
$12,385 Vol.
新規
$12,385 Vol.
2026/06/18
24℃以下
$204 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$99 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$488 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$1,170 Vol.
1%
28°C
$2,704 Vol.
4%
29°C
$1,915 Vol.
8%
30°C
$1,562 Vol.
28%
31°C
$1,013 Vol.
34%
32°C
$1,267 Vol.
15%
33°C
$608 Vol.
4%
34°C or higher
$1,361 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European forecast models, including BBC guidance, point to sunny skies and light easterly winds over Munich on June 18, favoring a daily maximum near 31 °C as the leading market outcome. This reflects a transient ridge of high pressure suppressing cloud cover and allowing strong solar insolation during peak daytime heating hours, with minimal advection of cooler air. Ensemble spreads and slight timing differences in the warmest hour keep 30 °C and 32 °C probabilities competitive at 27.5 % and 17 %, while lower odds on 29 °C or 33 °C capture residual model divergence. Updated runs from agencies such as DWD or ECMWF ahead of resolution will likely tighten the distribution as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
音量
$12,385終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Jun 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European forecast models, including BBC guidance, point to sunny skies and light easterly winds over Munich on June 18, favoring a daily maximum near 31 °C as the leading market outcome. This reflects a transient ridge of high pressure suppressing cloud cover and allowing strong solar insolation during peak daytime heating hours, with minimal advection of cooler air. Ensemble spreads and slight timing differences in the warmest hour keep 30 °C and 32 °C probabilities competitive at 27.5 % and 17 %, while lower odds on 29 °C or 33 °C capture residual model divergence. Updated runs from agencies such as DWD or ECMWF ahead of resolution will likely tighten the distribution as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$12,385終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Jun 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETRecent European forecast models, including BBC guidance, point to sunny skies and light easterly winds over Munich on June 18, favoring a daily maximum near 31 °C as the leading market outcome. This reflects a transient ridge of high pressure suppressing cloud cover and allowing strong solar insolation during peak daytime heating hours, with minimal advection of cooler air. Ensemble spreads and slight timing differences in the warmest hour keep 30 °C and 32 °C probabilities competitive at 27.5 % and 17 %, while lower odds on 29 °C or 33 °C capture residual model divergence. Updated runs from agencies such as DWD or ECMWF ahead of resolution will likely tighten the distribution as the event approaches.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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