Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate moderate East Asian monsoon moisture and convective activity over the Pearl River Delta as the main driver keeping June 17 peak temperatures clustered near 28–29 °C in Shenzhen. Subtropical humidity, possible scattered showers, and a moderating sea breeze from the South China Sea are suppressing stronger daytime heating that might otherwise push readings toward 30 °C or above under clearer conditions. Historical June averages near 31 °C provide context, yet current model consensus favors slightly cooler outcomes than climatology. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution will refine these variables for traders assessing narrow 1 °C thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月17日の深センの最高気温は?
28°C 29%
29°C 27%
27°C 17%
30°C 17%
23°C以下
<1%
24℃
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
10%
27°C
17%
28°C
29%
29°C
27%
30°C
17%
31℃
9%
32℃
2%
33℃以上
1%
28°C 29%
29°C 27%
27°C 17%
30°C 17%
23°C以下
<1%
24℃
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
10%
27°C
17%
28°C
29%
29°C
27%
30°C
17%
31℃
9%
32℃
2%
33℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate moderate East Asian monsoon moisture and convective activity over the Pearl River Delta as the main driver keeping June 17 peak temperatures clustered near 28–29 °C in Shenzhen. Subtropical humidity, possible scattered showers, and a moderating sea breeze from the South China Sea are suppressing stronger daytime heating that might otherwise push readings toward 30 °C or above under clearer conditions. Historical June averages near 31 °C provide context, yet current model consensus favors slightly cooler outcomes than climatology. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution will refine these variables for traders assessing narrow 1 °C thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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