Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a June 14 high near 90–91°F in Austin, with isolated afternoon thunderstorms and increasing cloud cover expected to curb peak insolation and evaporative cooling. Mid-June climatology places normal highs around 93–94°F, yet persistent subtropical moisture and southeasterly flow favor scattered convection that historically caps temperatures 2–4°F below clear-sky maxima. The near-even market split between 90–91°F and 92–93°F reflects uncertainty in storm timing and coverage, while lower-probability bins above 94°F or below 90°F capture risks of either suppressed heating from widespread clouds or brief clearing that allows greater surface warming. Updated model runs and radar trends through the afternoon will drive any further shifts in implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月14日のオースティンの最高気温は？
6月14日のオースティンの最高気温は？
92～93°F 44%
90〜91°F 41%
88〜89°F 12%
94〜95°F 6%
新規
$17,881 Vol.
新規
$17,881 Vol.
2026/06/14
83°F以下
<1%
84〜85°F
<1%
86〜87°F
2%
88〜89°F
12%
90〜91°F
41%
92～93°F
44%
94〜95°F
6%
96〜97°F
2%
98〜99°F
<1%
100～101°F
<1%
102°F以上
<1%
92～93°F 44%
90〜91°F 41%
88〜89°F 12%
94〜95°F 6%
新規
$17,881 Vol.
新規
$17,881 Vol.
2026/06/14
83°F以下
$770 Vol.
<1%
84〜85°F
$1,932 Vol.
<1%
86〜87°F
$2,839 Vol.
2%
88〜89°F
$3,105 Vol.
12%
90〜91°F
$2,803 Vol.
41%
92～93°F
$1,850 Vol.
44%
94〜95°F
$1,333 Vol.
6%
96〜97°F
$1,543 Vol.
2%
98〜99°F
$937 Vol.
<1%
100～101°F
$812 Vol.
<1%
102°F以上
$431 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a June 14 high near 90–91°F in Austin, with isolated afternoon thunderstorms and increasing cloud cover expected to curb peak insolation and evaporative cooling. Mid-June climatology places normal highs around 93–94°F, yet persistent subtropical moisture and southeasterly flow favor scattered convection that historically caps temperatures 2–4°F below clear-sky maxima. The near-even market split between 90–91°F and 92–93°F reflects uncertainty in storm timing and coverage, while lower-probability bins above 94°F or below 90°F capture risks of either suppressed heating from widespread clouds or brief clearing that allows greater surface warming. Updated model runs and radar trends through the afternoon will drive any further shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
音量
$17,881終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a June 14 high near 90–91°F in Austin, with isolated afternoon thunderstorms and increasing cloud cover expected to curb peak insolation and evaporative cooling. Mid-June climatology places normal highs around 93–94°F, yet persistent subtropical moisture and southeasterly flow favor scattered convection that historically caps temperatures 2–4°F below clear-sky maxima. The near-even market split between 90–91°F and 92–93°F reflects uncertainty in storm timing and coverage, while lower-probability bins above 94°F or below 90°F capture risks of either suppressed heating from widespread clouds or brief clearing that allows greater surface warming. Updated model runs and radar trends through the afternoon will drive any further shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$17,881終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETOfficial National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a June 14 high near 90–91°F in Austin, with isolated afternoon thunderstorms and increasing cloud cover expected to curb peak insolation and evaporative cooling. Mid-June climatology places normal highs around 93–94°F, yet persistent subtropical moisture and southeasterly flow favor scattered convection that historically caps temperatures 2–4°F below clear-sky maxima. The near-even market split between 90–91°F and 92–93°F reflects uncertainty in storm timing and coverage, while lower-probability bins above 94°F or below 90°F capture risks of either suppressed heating from widespread clouds or brief clearing that allows greater surface warming. Updated model runs and radar trends through the afternoon will drive any further shifts in implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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