Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Dallas shows afternoon highs likely peaking in the mid-to-upper 80s as Gulf moisture fuels scattered thunderstorms that limit full solar heating. High humidity and light easterly flow keep the boundary layer moist, while any breaks in cloud cover or delayed storm initiation could push readings toward 90°F. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 86–89°F reflects this narrow forecast spread and the resolution sensitivity to official maximum observations, with lower-probability tails capturing risks of stronger convection or clearer skies. Updated model runs and surface observations through midday will refine the final range before market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月14日のダラスの最高気温は?
88-89°F 34%
86-87°F 29%
90-91°F 18%
92-93°F 6.4%
$20,976 Vol.
$20,976 Vol.
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
29%
88-89°F
34%
90-91°F
18%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
2%
96°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 34%
86-87°F 29%
90-91°F 18%
92-93°F 6.4%
$20,976 Vol.
$20,976 Vol.
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
29%
88-89°F
34%
90-91°F
18%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
2%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Dallas shows afternoon highs likely peaking in the mid-to-upper 80s as Gulf moisture fuels scattered thunderstorms that limit full solar heating. High humidity and light easterly flow keep the boundary layer moist, while any breaks in cloud cover or delayed storm initiation could push readings toward 90°F. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 86–89°F reflects this narrow forecast spread and the resolution sensitivity to official maximum observations, with lower-probability tails capturing risks of stronger convection or clearer skies. Updated model runs and surface observations through midday will refine the final range before market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問